FairValue

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Derek

Cornelius

CBCanada · Rangers FC

№ 328609Established €2.3M +0.09

Player dossierPremiership

DerekCornelius

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Rangers FC
League
Premiership
Nationality
Canada
Age
28
Height
186 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
20 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Cornelius at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Cornelius during training, estimates €2.3M: the market value is 9% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.09. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.09A €2.3M▲ +0.40B €1.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
33
Minutes
2,213
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
25/33
Min / app
67
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cornelius…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €2.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Derek Cornelius's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 57th, Assists per 90 51st, Minutes, two years 38th, Starts 37th, Minutes, last 365 days 22nd, European club minutes 70th57thGoals51stAssists38thMinutes37thStarts22ndRecent70thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

8% this player0% defender median70th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Aug 2014
Peak
€5M
Mar 2025
Model target
€2.5M
May 2026
Valuations
31
6 club changes
May 2026€2.5MRangers FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.5M, Rangers FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-08-18€25kVfB Lübeck
2015-02-08€25kVfB Lübeck
2015-07-14€25kVfB Lübeck
2015-11-04€25kVfB Lübeck
2016-02-25€25kVfB Lübeck
2016-07-27€25kVfB Lübeck
2017-05-04€50kFK Javor-Matis Ivanjica
2018-01-10€150kFK Javor-Matis Ivanjica
2018-07-02€200kFK Javor-Matis Ivanjica
2019-01-10€150kFK Javor-Matis Ivanjica
2019-05-27€200kVancouver Whitecaps FC
2019-11-30€550kVancouver Whitecaps FC
2020-04-08€450kVancouver Whitecaps FC
2020-08-26€550kVancouver Whitecaps FC
2020-12-18€500kVancouver Whitecaps FC
2021-07-09€400kVancouver Whitecaps FC
2021-11-01€500kPanetolikos
2022-02-22€700kPanetolikos
2022-06-09€800kPanetolikos
2022-11-07€800kPanetolikos
2023-06-27€1.2MMalmö FF
2023-09-13€1.8MMalmö FF
2023-12-08€2.5MMalmö FF
2024-06-13€2.8MMalmö FF
2024-10-07€4MOlympique Marseille
2024-12-10€4MOlympique Marseille
2025-03-24€5MOlympique Marseille
2025-06-03€5MOlympique Marseille
2025-12-10€4MRangers FC
2026-03-05€3MRangers FC
2026-05-20€2.5MRangers FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.088

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premiership311 players · median €400k

Valued above 86% of the 311 Premiership players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 54% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Cornelius appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).