FairValue

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Maksym

Marusych

CFUkraine · SC Poltava

№ 325386Emerging €175k −0.56

Player dossierPremier Liha

MaksymMarusych

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
SC Poltava
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
32
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Marusych at €100k. Model A, which never saw Marusych during training, estimates €175k: the market value is 43% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.75. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €318k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.56A €175k▼ −1.16B €318k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
21
Minutes
1,122
Goals
4
Assists
1
Started
11/21
Min / app
53
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Marusych…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €100kModel A €175k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Maksym Marusych's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 61st, Assists per 90 24th, Minutes, two years 23rd, Starts 39th, Minutes, last 365 days 43rd, European club minutes 28th61stGoals24thAssists23rdMinutes39thStarts43rdRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.32 this player0.26 attacker median61st percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Dec 2014
Peak
€250k
Dec 2020
Model target
€100k
Jun 2026
Valuations
19
9 club changes
Jun 2026€100kSC PoltavaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €100k, SC Poltava. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-12-25€100kWithout Club
2015-09-26€75kGirnyk-Sport Gorishni Plavni
2017-06-20€150kFK Jonava
2018-01-11€175kFK Jonava
2019-03-22€225kFC RFS
2020-09-15€200kKaspiy Aktau
2020-12-11€250kKaspiy Aktau
2021-12-07€225kFK Riteriai
2022-05-18€225kWithout Club
2022-09-06€200kIngulets Petrove
2022-12-06€200kIngulets Petrove
2023-06-21€200kIngulets Petrove
2023-12-11€250kNK Veres Rivne
2024-06-06€200kSC Poltava
2024-12-17€200kSC Poltava
2025-06-10€200kSC Poltava
2025-09-10€150kSC Poltava
2025-12-18€150kSC Poltava
2026-06-02€100kSC Poltava

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.558

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 0% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 1% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Marusych appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).