FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Felix

Beijmo

CBSweden · Aarhus GF

№ 322293Established €2.5M +0.20

Player dossierSuperliga

FelixBeijmo

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Aarhus GF
League
Superliga
Nationality
Sweden
Age
28
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Beijmo at €3M. Model A, which never saw Beijmo during training, estimates €2.5M: the market value is 22% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.22. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.20A €2.5M▲ +0.43B €2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
52
Minutes
4,334
Goals
4
Assists
6
Started
49/52
Min / app
83
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Beijmo…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €2.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Felix Beijmo's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 81st, Assists per 90 83rd, Minutes, two years 75th, Starts 82nd, Minutes, last 365 days 74th, European club minutes 30th81stGoals83rdAssists75thMinutes82ndStarts74thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.12 this player0.04 defender median83rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jun 2015
Peak
€3M
Aug 2018
Model target
€3M
May 2026
Valuations
22
6 club changes
May 2026€3MAarhus GFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3M, Aarhus GF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-06-14€50kIF Brommapojkarna
2015-12-03€50kIF Brommapojkarna
2017-06-20€300kDjurgårdens IF
2017-11-17€600kDjurgårdens IF
2018-06-20€1MDjurgårdens IF
2018-08-22€3MSV Werder Bremen
2018-12-18€2MSV Werder Bremen
2019-06-05€1.3MSV Werder Bremen
2019-11-20€1.2MMalmö FF
2020-04-08€1MSpVgg Greuther Fürth
2020-12-10€700kMalmö FF
2021-06-09€700kMalmö FF
2021-12-17€700kMalmö FF
2022-06-24€1.2MMalmö FF
2022-12-14€1.2MMalmö FF
2023-06-26€1MAarhus GF
2023-12-21€1.5MAarhus GF
2024-06-10€1.5MAarhus GF
2024-12-09€1.7MAarhus GF
2025-06-16€2MAarhus GF
2025-12-15€2.5MAarhus GF
2026-05-25€3MAarhus GF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.195

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 83% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 59% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Beijmo appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).