FairValue

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Çağlar

Söyüncü

CBTürkiye · Fenerbahce

№ 320141Established €4.3M −0.22

Player dossierSüper Lig

ÇağlarSöyüncü

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Fenerbahce
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
29
Height
185 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Söyüncü at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Söyüncü during training, estimates €4.3M: the market value is 19% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.24. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.22A €4.3M▲ +0.02B €3.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
52
Minutes
3,648
Goals
2
Assists
2
Started
42/52
Min / app
70
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Söyüncü…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €4.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Çağlar Söyüncü's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 63rd, Assists per 90 56th, Minutes, two years 64th, Starts 46th, Minutes, last 365 days 30th, European club minutes 96th63rdGoals56thAssists64thMinutes46thStarts30thRecent96thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

33% this player0% defender median96th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2014
Peak
€45M
May 2021
Model target
€3.5M
May 2026
Valuations
36
4 club changes
May 2026€3.5MFenerbahceValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3.5M, Fenerbahce. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-07-21€50kAltinordu FK
2015-01-05€250kAltinordu FK
2015-06-08€250kAltinordu FK
2016-01-04€1MAltinordu FK
2016-07-22€2.3MSC Freiburg
2017-02-07€4MSC Freiburg
2017-03-22€6MSC Freiburg
2017-06-19€7MSC Freiburg
2017-12-28€9MSC Freiburg
2018-04-04€12MSC Freiburg
2018-06-05€18MSC Freiburg
2018-12-19€18MLeicester City
2019-06-13€15MLeicester City
2019-09-12€20MLeicester City
2019-12-10€40MLeicester City
2020-04-08€32MLeicester City
2020-07-30€40MLeicester City
2020-10-13€40MLeicester City
2021-03-18€40MLeicester City
2021-05-25€45MLeicester City
2021-12-23€45MLeicester City
2022-06-15€40MLeicester City
2022-09-15€28MLeicester City
2022-11-03€22MLeicester City
2023-03-16€15MLeicester City
2023-06-20€15MLeicester City
2023-12-22€12MAtlético de Madrid
2024-03-15€12MFenerbahce
2024-05-31€10MFenerbahce
2024-10-04€9MFenerbahce
2024-12-23€8.5MFenerbahce
2025-03-20€8MFenerbahce
2025-06-18€7MFenerbahce
2025-12-17€6MFenerbahce
2026-03-05€4.5MFenerbahce
2026-05-21€3.5MFenerbahce

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.216

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 75% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 63% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Söyüncü appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).