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Martin

Kramaric

LWSlovenia · FC Sochi

№ 318705Emerging €1.1M −0.46

Player dossierPremier Liga

MartinKramaric

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
FC Sochi
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Slovenia
Age
28
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kramaric at €700k. Model A, which never saw Kramaric during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 37% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.59. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.46A €1.1M▼ −0.42B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
22
Minutes
1,574
Goals
5
Assists
2
Started
18/22
Min / app
72
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kramaric…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Martin Kramaric's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 54th, Assists per 90 38th, Minutes, two years 34th, Starts 85th, Minutes, last 365 days 60th, European club minutes 28th54thGoals38thAssists34thMinutes85thStarts60thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

82% this player59% attacker median85th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jan 2016
Peak
€900k
Dec 2024
Model target
€700k
May 2026
Valuations
23
3 club changes
May 2026€700kFC SochiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €700k, FC Sochi. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-01-30€100kNK Krsko
2017-01-07€200kNK Krsko
2017-07-16€400kNK Maribor
2018-02-21€600kNK Maribor
2018-08-03€600kNK Maribor
2019-03-08€500kNK Maribor
2019-06-24€400kNK Maribor
2019-12-27€350kNK Maribor
2020-04-08€300kNK Bravo
2020-07-30€300kNK Bravo
2021-01-06€300kNK Bravo
2021-06-08€300kNK Bravo
2021-12-15€400kNK Bravo
2022-06-27€400kNK Bravo
2022-12-15€400kNK Bravo
2023-05-25€500kNK Bravo
2023-10-05€800kFC Sochi
2023-12-13€800kFC Sochi
2024-06-04€800kFC Sochi
2024-12-04€900kFC Sochi
2025-06-02€900kFC Sochi
2025-12-16€750kFC Sochi
2026-05-26€700kFC Sochi

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.462

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 24% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 22% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kramaric appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).