FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Portrait of Olivier Boscagli

Olivier

Boscagli

CBFrance · Brighton & Hove Albion

№ 318508Elite €10.9M +0.32

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

OlivierBoscagli

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Brighton & Hove Albion
League
Premier League
Nationality
France
Age
28
Height
181 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Boscagli at €15M. Model A, which never saw Boscagli during training, estimates €10.9M: the market value is 38% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.38. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.32A €10.9M▲ +1.15B €4.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
60
Minutes
4,785
Goals
2
Assists
7
Started
54/60
Min / app
80
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Boscagli…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €15M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €15MModel A €10.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Olivier Boscagli's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 55th, Assists per 90 85th, Minutes, two years 80th, Starts 69th, Minutes, last 365 days 33rd, European club minutes 83rd55thGoals85thAssists80thMinutes69thStarts33rdRecent83rdEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.13 this player0.04 defender median85th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Oct 2015
Peak
€27M
Mar 2024
Model target
€15M
Jun 2026
Valuations
28
4 club changes
Jun 2026€15MBrighton & Hove AlbionValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €15M, Brighton & Hove Albion. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-10-01€500kOGC Nice
2016-02-04€1MOGC Nice
2017-01-16€1MOGC Nice
2017-06-01€800kOGC Nice
2018-05-16€2MNîmes Olympique
2018-09-06€3MOGC Nice
2018-12-17€3MOGC Nice
2019-06-03€3MOGC Nice
2019-12-18€3MPSV Eindhoven
2020-04-08€2.4MPSV Eindhoven
2020-10-14€2.4MPSV Eindhoven
2021-01-06€4MPSV Eindhoven
2021-03-09€6.5MPSV Eindhoven
2021-05-19€7MPSV Eindhoven
2022-01-05€7.5MPSV Eindhoven
2022-06-08€8MPSV Eindhoven
2022-11-11€8MPSV Eindhoven
2023-06-23€7MPSV Eindhoven
2023-10-17€10MPSV Eindhoven
2023-12-15€20MPSV Eindhoven
2024-03-18€27MPSV Eindhoven
2024-05-31€27MPSV Eindhoven
2024-12-17€27MPSV Eindhoven
2025-03-28€23MPSV Eindhoven
2025-05-28€20MPSV Eindhoven
2025-12-09€18MBrighton & Hove Albion
2026-03-09€15MBrighton & Hove Albion
2026-06-03€15MBrighton & Hove Albion

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.321

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 43% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€15MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 87% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€15MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Boscagli appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).