FairValue

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Pedro

Pereira

RBPortugal · Genclerbirligi Ankara

№ 314965Emerging €1.5M −0.21

Player dossierSüper Lig

PedroPereira

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Genclerbirligi Ankara
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Portugal
Age
28
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pereira at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Pereira during training, estimates €1.5M: the market value is 19% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.23. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.21A €1.5M▼ −0.92B €3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
68
Minutes
5,462
Goals
1
Assists
5
Started
62/68
Min / app
80
Cards
21Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pereira…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €1.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Pedro Pereira's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 38th, Assists per 90 72nd, Minutes, two years 88th, Starts 73rd, Minutes, last 365 days 82nd, European club minutes 30th38thGoals72ndAssists88thMinutes73rdStarts82ndRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,462 this player2,860 defender median88th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Jun 2015
Peak
€2.3M
Jun 2022
Model target
€1.2M
May 2026
Valuations
27
9 club changes
May 2026€1.2MGenclerbirligi AnkaraValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.2M, Genclerbirligi Ankara. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-06-30€200kSL Benfica U17
2015-11-05€1MUC Sampdoria
2016-01-04€1MUC Sampdoria
2016-07-15€1MUC Sampdoria
2017-01-02€2MUC Sampdoria
2017-06-26€2MSL Benfica
2018-02-01€2MGenoa CFC
2018-06-07€2MGenoa CFC
2018-12-20€2MGenoa CFC
2019-06-06€2MGenoa CFC
2020-02-27€2MBristol City
2020-04-08€1.8MBristol City
2020-10-29€2MFC Crotone
2020-12-29€2MFC Crotone
2021-06-03€2MFC Crotone
2021-12-29€2MAC Monza
2022-06-06€2.3MAC Monza
2022-10-27€2MAlanyaspor
2023-03-14€2MAlanyaspor
2023-06-08€2MAlanyaspor
2023-12-20€1.8MAC Monza
2024-06-05€1.5MAC Monza
2024-12-18€1.8MAC Monza
2025-06-17€1.5MAC Monza
2025-10-01€1.2MGenclerbirligi Ankara
2025-12-17€1.2MGenclerbirligi Ankara
2026-05-21€1.2MGenclerbirligi Ankara

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.210

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 45% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 39% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pereira appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).