FairValue

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Siebe

Horemans

RBBelgium · FC Utrecht

№ 314915Established €4.5M −0.40

Player dossierEredivisie

SiebeHoremans

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
FC Utrecht
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Belgium
Age
27
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Horemans at €3M. Model A, which never saw Horemans during training, estimates €4.5M: the market value is 33% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.49. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €9.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.40A €4.5M▼ −1.18B €9.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
74
Minutes
5,493
Goals
3
Assists
10
Started
61/74
Min / app
74
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Horemans…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €4.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Siebe Horemans's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 63rd, Assists per 90 91st, Minutes, two years 89th, Starts 50th, Minutes, last 365 days 87th, European club minutes 83rd63rdGoals91stAssists89thMinutes50thStarts87thRecent83rdEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.16 this player0.04 defender median91st percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2016
Peak
€4.5M
Oct 2025
Model target
€3M
May 2026
Valuations
25
5 club changes
May 2026€3MFC UtrechtValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3M, FC Utrecht. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-07-15€100kKAA Gent
2016-10-20€250kKAA Gent
2017-01-21€250kKAA Gent
2017-06-06€250kOud-Heverlee Leuven
2018-01-09€250kKAA Gent
2018-06-03€250kKAA Gent
2018-12-28€200kSBV Excelsior
2019-06-12€200kSBV Excelsior
2020-06-29€275kSBV Excelsior
2020-10-24€300kSBV Excelsior
2020-12-31€350kSBV Excelsior
2021-10-12€350kExcelsior Rotterdam
2022-01-12€350kExcelsior Rotterdam
2022-06-23€400kExcelsior Rotterdam
2022-11-11€500kExcelsior Rotterdam
2023-06-23€650kExcelsior Rotterdam
2023-10-17€900kExcelsior Rotterdam
2023-12-15€900kExcelsior Rotterdam
2024-05-31€1.2MExcelsior Rotterdam
2024-10-14€1.8MFC Utrecht
2024-12-17€2.5MFC Utrecht
2025-05-28€3.5MFC Utrecht
2025-10-02€4.5MFC Utrecht
2025-12-02€4.5MFC Utrecht
2026-05-28€3MFC Utrecht

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.399

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 70% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 59% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Horemans appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).