Mathias
Hebo
CMDenmark · Lyngby Boldklub
Player dossierSuperliga
MathiasHebo
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Lyngby Boldklub
- League
- Superliga
- Nationality
- Denmark
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 18 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Hebo at €250k. Model A, which never saw Hebo during training, estimates €325k: the market value is 23% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.30. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €374k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 13
- Minutes
- 628
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 6/13
- Min / app
- 48
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hebo…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% midfielder median30th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Aug 2014
- Peak
- €800k
- Nov 2022
- Model target
- €250k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 28
- 9 club changes
Dec 2025: €250k, Lyngby Boldklub. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2014-08-31 | €50k | FC Nordsjaelland |
| 2015-02-06 | €100k | FC Nordsjaelland |
| 2015-09-02 | €150k | FC Vestsjaelland |
| 2016-01-21 | €150k | FC Nordsjaelland |
| 2016-08-12 | €200k | FC Fredericia |
| 2016-12-12 | €200k | FC Fredericia |
| 2017-06-21 | €300k | FC Fredericia |
| 2017-12-18 | €300k | Lyngby Boldklub |
| 2018-06-02 | €300k | Lyngby Boldklub |
| 2018-12-21 | €300k | Lyngby Boldklub |
| 2019-06-08 | €250k | Vejle Boldklub |
| 2019-12-22 | €350k | Silkeborg IF |
| 2020-04-08 | €300k | Lyngby Boldklub |
| 2020-07-31 | €400k | Lyngby Boldklub |
| 2020-12-23 | €400k | Lyngby Boldklub |
| 2021-06-04 | €400k | Lyngby Boldklub |
| 2021-12-31 | €400k | Cracovia |
| 2022-04-07 | €500k | Cracovia |
| 2022-06-14 | €500k | Cracovia |
| 2022-09-29 | €650k | Cracovia |
| 2022-11-16 | €800k | Cracovia |
| 2023-03-30 | €600k | Cracovia |
| 2023-06-09 | €500k | Cracovia |
| 2023-12-29 | €350k | Cracovia |
| 2024-06-07 | €300k | Cracovia |
| 2024-12-09 | €300k | Lyngby Boldklub |
| 2025-06-16 | €300k | Lyngby Boldklub |
| 2025-12-18 | €250k | Lyngby Boldklub |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.263
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Superliga256 players · median €800k
Valued above 11% of the 256 Superliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 5% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Hebo appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GytkjaerCFLyngby Boldklub · Superliga€250k
- FalkCMOdense Boldklub · Superliga€250k
- CorneliusCFFC Copenhagen · Superliga€250k
- RømerDMRanders FC · Superliga€250k
- BabenkoCMPolissya Zhytomyr · midfielders€250k
- SydorchukDMKVC Westerlo · midfielders€250k
- StambouliDMFC Metz · midfielders€250k
- SibbaldDMDundee United FC · midfielders€250k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).