Jordan
Larsson
RWSweden · FC Copenhagen
Player dossierSuperliga
JordanLarsson
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- FC Copenhagen
- League
- Superliga
- Nationality
- Sweden
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 175 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 25 May 2026
SuperligaReading the valuation
The market values Larsson at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Larsson during training, estimates €4.5M: the market value is 22% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 60
- Minutes
- 3,749
- Goals
- 13
- Assists
- 7
- Started
- 46/60
- Min / app
- 62
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Larsson…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
30% this player0% attacker median94th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Apr 2015
- Peak
- €15M
- May 2021
- Model target
- €3.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 29
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €3.5M, FC Copenhagen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-04-11 | €200k | Helsingborgs IF |
| 2015-06-14 | €400k | Helsingborgs IF |
| 2015-11-29 | €500k | Helsingborgs IF |
| 2016-06-17 | €700k | Helsingborgs IF |
| 2016-12-11 | €500k | Helsingborgs IF |
| 2017-06-07 | €400k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2018-06-20 | €400k | IFK Norrköping |
| 2019-01-16 | €250k | IFK Norrköping |
| 2019-06-28 | €800k | IFK Norrköping |
| 2019-09-10 | €2.5M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2019-12-23 | €3.5M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2020-04-08 | €2.8M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2020-07-29 | €4M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2020-10-19 | €6.5M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2020-12-29 | €9M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2021-04-13 | €11M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2021-05-31 | €15M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2021-09-14 | €14M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2021-12-29 | €11M | Spartak Moscow |
| 2022-06-24 | €8M | AIK |
| 2022-09-21 | €5M | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2022-11-09 | €4M | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2023-06-26 | €3M | FC Copenhagen |
| 2023-12-21 | €2.5M | FC Copenhagen |
| 2024-06-10 | €2.5M | FC Copenhagen |
| 2024-12-09 | €2M | FC Copenhagen |
| 2025-06-16 | €2.5M | FC Copenhagen |
| 2025-12-15 | €3M | FC Copenhagen |
| 2026-05-25 | €3.5M | FC Copenhagen |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.252
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Superliga256 players · median €800k
Valued above 86% of the 256 Superliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 56% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Larsson appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KöhlertLBBröndby IF · Superliga€3.5M
- BinksCBBröndby IF · Superliga€3.5M
- BravoCMFC Midtjylland · Superliga€3.5M
- ClemDMFC Copenhagen · Superliga€3.5M
- FüllkrugCFAC Milan · attackers€3.5M
- IngsCFSheffield United · attackers€3.5M
- BernardeschiRWBologna FC 1909 · attackers€3.5M
- TabakovicCFBorussia Mönchengladbach · attackers€3.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).