FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Portrait of Ionuț Radu

Ionuț

Radu

GKRomania · Celta de Vigo

№ 303657Established €6.1M +0.38

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLaLiga

IonuțRadu

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Celta de Vigo
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Romania
Age
29
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Radu at €9M. Model A, which never saw Radu during training, estimates €6.1M: the market value is 47% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.47. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.38A €6.1M▲ +0.10B €8.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
65
Minutes
5,850
Started
65/65
Min / app
90
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Radu…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €9M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €9MModel A €6.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Ionuț Radu's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 84th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 99th, European club minutes 83rd84thMinutes62ndStarts99thRecent83rdEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

4,500 this player1,560 goalkeeper median99th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,970

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2014
Peak
€15M
Jun 2019
Model target
€9M
Jun 2026
Valuations
33
11 club changes
Jun 2026€9MCelta de VigoValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €9M, Celta de Vigo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-09-16€50kInter Milan Primavera
2015-03-02€200kInter Milan Primavera
2015-06-17€200kInter Milan Primavera
2016-06-08€300kInter Milan Primavera
2017-01-02€300kInter Milan
2017-06-08€300kInter Milan
2017-12-21€500kUS Avellino 1912
2018-06-18€3MUS Avellino 1912
2018-10-12€5MGenoa CFC
2018-12-20€7MGenoa CFC
2019-03-01€12MGenoa CFC
2019-06-06€15MGenoa CFC
2019-12-12€15MGenoa CFC
2020-03-03€12MParma Calcio 1913
2020-04-08€9.5MParma Calcio 1913
2020-08-25€8MParma Calcio 1913
2020-12-29€7MInter Milan
2021-06-03€6MInter Milan
2021-10-14€5MInter Milan
2021-12-28€4MInter Milan
2022-06-07€3.5MInter Milan
2022-11-11€3.5MUS Cremonese
2023-06-27€3.5MAJ Auxerre
2023-12-19€3MAFC Bournemouth
2024-05-27€3MAFC Bournemouth
2024-10-18€1.5MInter Milan
2024-12-18€1.5MInter Milan
2025-03-25€2.5MVenezia FC
2025-06-17€2.5MVenezia FC
2025-10-02€3.5MCelta de Vigo
2025-12-12€5MCelta de Vigo
2026-03-16€8MCelta de Vigo
2026-06-05€9MCelta de Vigo

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.383

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 72% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€9MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 87% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€9MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Radu appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).