FairValue

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Kike

Barja

RWSpain · CA Osasuna

№ 298575Emerging €2M −0.27

Player dossierLaLiga

KikeBarja

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
CA Osasuna
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
29
Height
179 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Barja at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Barja during training, estimates €2M: the market value is 24% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.31. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.27A €2M▼ −0.50B €2.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
49
Minutes
1,077
Goals
3
Assists
3
Started
10/49
Min / app
22
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Barja…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Kike Barja's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 48th, Assists per 90 83rd, Minutes, two years 21st, Starts 4th, Minutes, last 365 days 24th, European club minutes 28th48thGoals83rdAssists21stMinutes4thStarts24thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.25 this player0.15 attacker median83rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jan 2015
Peak
€4M
Jun 2023
Model target
€1.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
29
1 club change
Jun 2026€1.5MCA OsasunaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.5M, CA Osasuna. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-01-08€100kCA Osasuna Promesas
2015-07-01€100kCA Osasuna Promesas
2016-02-22€100kCA Osasuna Promesas
2016-08-01€100kCA Osasuna Promesas
2016-10-27€350kCA Osasuna Promesas
2017-02-02€350kCA Osasuna Promesas
2017-06-30€350kCA Osasuna Promesas
2017-08-17€400kCA Osasuna Promesas
2018-01-01€400kCA Osasuna
2018-03-02€1MCA Osasuna
2018-05-30€1MCA Osasuna
2019-02-19€1.2MCA Osasuna
2019-06-29€1.5MCA Osasuna
2019-12-20€1MCA Osasuna
2020-04-08€800kCA Osasuna
2020-10-08€800kCA Osasuna
2021-01-05€1MCA Osasuna
2021-06-10€3MCA Osasuna
2021-12-30€3MCA Osasuna
2022-06-03€3MCA Osasuna
2022-11-07€3MCA Osasuna
2023-06-13€4MCA Osasuna
2023-10-13€2.5MCA Osasuna
2023-12-22€2.5MCA Osasuna
2024-06-07€2MCA Osasuna
2024-12-27€1.8MCA Osasuna
2025-06-09€1.5MCA Osasuna
2025-12-12€1.5MCA Osasuna
2026-06-05€1.5MCA Osasuna

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.273

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 20% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 37% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Barja appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).