Oleksiy
Gutsulyak
RWUkraine · Polissya Zhytomyr
Player dossierPremier Liha
OleksiyGutsulyak
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Polissya Zhytomyr
- League
- Premier Liha
- Nationality
- Ukraine
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 2 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Gutsulyak at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Gutsulyak during training, estimates €3.9M: the market value is 10% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €9.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 65
- Minutes
- 5,231
- Goals
- 21
- Assists
- 11
- Started
- 58/65
- Min / app
- 80
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gutsulyak…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
89% this player59% attacker median93rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Jun 2015
- Peak
- €3.5M
- Jun 2026
- Model target
- €3.5M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 22
- 5 club changes
Jun 2026: €3.5M, Polissya Zhytomyr. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-06-07 | €200k | Karpaty Lviv |
| 2015-12-17 | €300k | Karpaty Lviv |
| 2016-07-15 | €300k | FC Villarreal C |
| 2017-06-26 | €400k | Karpaty Lviv |
| 2018-01-12 | €400k | Karpaty Lviv |
| 2018-08-06 | €600k | Karpaty Lviv |
| 2018-12-10 | €600k | Karpaty Lviv |
| 2019-06-20 | €400k | Karpaty Lviv |
| 2020-01-08 | €300k | Karpaty Lviv |
| 2020-09-04 | €300k | Desna Chernigiv |
| 2021-01-14 | €600k | Desna Chernigiv |
| 2021-06-07 | €900k | Desna Chernigiv |
| 2021-12-20 | €1M | SC Dnipro-1 |
| 2022-05-18 | €1M | SC Dnipro-1 |
| 2022-12-06 | €1.5M | SC Dnipro-1 |
| 2023-06-21 | €1.8M | SC Dnipro-1 |
| 2023-12-11 | €1.8M | SC Dnipro-1 |
| 2024-06-06 | €2.5M | SC Dnipro-1 |
| 2024-12-17 | €3M | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 2025-06-10 | €3M | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 2025-12-18 | €3M | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 2026-06-02 | €3.5M | Polissya Zhytomyr |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.103
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liha414 players · median €400k
Valued above 93% of the 414 Premier Liha players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 56% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Gutsulyak appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- TymchykRBDynamo Kyiv · Premier Liha€3.5M
- NeshcheretGKDynamo Kyiv · Premier Liha€3.5M
- KryskivCMShakhtar Donetsk · Premier Liha€4M
- ObahRWShakhtar Donetsk · Premier Liha€4M
- FüllkrugCFAC Milan · attackers€3.5M
- IngsCFSheffield United · attackers€3.5M
- BernardeschiRWBologna FC 1909 · attackers€3.5M
- TabakovicCFBorussia Mönchengladbach · attackers€3.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).