FairValue

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Dimitrios

Giannoulis

LBGreece · FC Augsburg

№ 295630Established €3.1M −0.03

Player dossierBundesliga

DimitriosGiannoulis

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
FC Augsburg
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Greece
Age
30
Height
178 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Giannoulis at €3M. Model A, which never saw Giannoulis during training, estimates €3.1M: the market value is 3% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.03. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.03A €3.1M▲ +0.25B €2.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
63
Minutes
4,903
Goals
3
Assists
10
Started
60/63
Min / app
78
Cards
18Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Giannoulis…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €3.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dimitrios Giannoulis's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 67th, Assists per 90 93rd, Minutes, two years 82nd, Starts 85th, Minutes, last 365 days 61st, European club minutes 30th67thGoals93rdAssists82ndMinutes85thStarts61stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.18 this player0.04 defender median93rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Dec 2014
Peak
€7M
Jun 2021
Model target
€3M
May 2026
Valuations
28
9 club changes
May 2026€3MFC AugsburgValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3M, FC Augsburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-12-21€75kPierikos Katerini
2015-06-07€200kPierikos Katerini
2015-09-27€200kPAE Veria
2016-06-21€300kPAE Veria
2016-12-21€300kPAOK Thessaloniki
2017-05-04€300kAnorthosis Famagusta
2017-12-18€500kAtromitos Athens
2018-05-22€1MAtromitos Athens
2018-12-07€1.3MAtromitos Athens
2019-02-07€2.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2019-05-21€2.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2019-09-23€3MPAOK Thessaloniki
2019-12-18€4.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2020-04-08€3.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2020-08-04€4.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2020-10-12€6MPAOK Thessaloniki
2021-03-10€6MNorwich City
2021-06-30€7MPAOK Thessaloniki
2021-12-23€7MNorwich City
2022-06-15€5MNorwich City
2022-10-27€4MNorwich City
2023-06-01€3.5MNorwich City
2023-12-21€3MNorwich City
2024-05-24€2.8MNorwich City
2024-12-20€2.8MFC Augsburg
2025-06-05€3MFC Augsburg
2025-12-19€3MFC Augsburg
2026-05-27€3MFC Augsburg

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.026

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 31% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 59% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Giannoulis appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).