FairValue

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Majid

Hosseini

CBIran · Kayserispor

№ 294767Emerging €312k +0.81

Player dossierSüper Lig

MajidHosseini

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Kayserispor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Iran
Age
29
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Hosseini at €700k. Model A, which never saw Hosseini during training, estimates €312k: the market value is 124% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.24. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €507k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.81A €312k▲ +0.32B €507k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
17
Minutes
1,079
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
12/17
Min / app
63
Cards
3Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hosseini…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €312k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Majid Hosseini's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 14th, Starts 28th, Minutes, last 365 days 9th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists14thMinutes28thStarts9thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% defender median30th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Jan 2015
Peak
€3.5M
Mar 2023
Model target
€700k
May 2026
Valuations
39
4 club changes
May 2026€700kKayserisporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €700k, Kayserispor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-01-10€75kEsteghlal FC
2015-06-30€100kEsteghlal FC
2016-01-01€100kRah Ahan Yazdan FC
2016-06-10€250kRah Ahan Yazdan FC
2017-01-09€350kEsteghlal FC
2017-07-10€500kEsteghlal FC
2018-01-09€800kEsteghlal FC
2018-06-09€900kEsteghlal FC
2018-07-16€1.5MEsteghlal FC
2019-01-04€1.5MTrabzonspor
2019-06-04€2MTrabzonspor
2019-10-04€2.5MTrabzonspor
2020-01-03€3MTrabzonspor
2020-03-25€2.5MTrabzonspor
2020-04-08€2MTrabzonspor
2020-08-04€2MTrabzonspor
2020-10-12€1.7MTrabzonspor
2020-12-23€1.2MTrabzonspor
2021-03-16€1.2MTrabzonspor
2021-05-21€1.4MTrabzonspor
2021-10-12€1.4MKayserispor
2022-01-04€1.5MKayserispor
2022-03-31€1.8MKayserispor
2022-06-01€3MKayserispor
2022-10-27€3MKayserispor
2023-03-14€3.5MKayserispor
2023-06-08€3MKayserispor
2023-09-27€2.6MKayserispor
2023-12-21€2.8MKayserispor
2024-03-15€2.5MKayserispor
2024-05-31€2.2MKayserispor
2024-10-04€1.6MKayserispor
2024-12-23€1.4MKayserispor
2025-03-20€1.3MKayserispor
2025-06-18€1.3MKayserispor
2025-10-01€1.2MKayserispor
2025-12-17€1MKayserispor
2026-03-05€800kKayserispor
2026-05-21€700kKayserispor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.808

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 29% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 26% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Hosseini appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).