FairValue

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Nicklas

Røjkjær

CMDenmark · FC Nordsjaelland

№ 293326Established €2.2M −0.08

Player dossierSuperliga

NicklasRøjkjær

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
FC Nordsjaelland
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
27
Height
179 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Røjkjær at €2M. Model A, which never saw Røjkjær during training, estimates €2.2M: the market value is 8% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.08A €2.2M▲ +0.65B €1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
26
Minutes
2,344
Goals
4
Assists
7
Started
26/26
Min / app
90
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Røjkjær…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €2.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Nicklas Røjkjær's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 73rd, Assists per 90 94th, Minutes, two years 45th, Starts 99th, Minutes, last 365 days 75th, European club minutes 30th73rdGoals94thAssists45thMinutes99thStarts75thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player69% midfielder median99th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2016
Peak
€2M
Dec 2025
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
21
6 club changes
May 2026€2MFC NordsjaellandValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, FC Nordsjaelland. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-12-12€50kFC Copenhagen U19
2017-09-06€50kFC Copenhagen U19
2018-06-07€100kViborg FF
2018-12-21€250kViborg FF
2019-06-24€300kViborg FF
2019-12-22€250kEsbjerg fB
2020-07-31€250kEsbjerg fB
2020-12-23€150kSilkeborg IF
2021-06-04€250kSilkeborg IF
2021-12-28€300kSilkeborg IF
2022-06-20€250kSilkeborg IF
2022-09-13€350kFC Fredericia
2022-12-22€300kFC Fredericia
2023-06-26€300kFC Fredericia
2023-12-21€400kFC Fredericia
2024-06-13€600kMjällby AIF
2024-09-26€700kMjällby AIF
2024-12-20€800kMjällby AIF
2025-06-18€1.5MMjällby AIF
2025-12-15€2MFC Nordsjaelland
2026-05-25€2MFC Nordsjaelland

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.081

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 70% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 46% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Røjkjær appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).