FairValue

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Milot

Rashica

RWKosovo · Besiktas JK

№ 291739Established €6.3M −0.59

Player dossierSüper Lig

MilotRashica

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Besiktas JK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Kosovo
Age
29
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Rashica at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Rashica during training, estimates €6.3M: the market value is 44% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.80. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.59A €6.3M▼ −0.82B €7.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
64
Minutes
3,781
Goals
7
Assists
13
Started
42/64
Min / app
59
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rashica…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €6.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Milot Rashica's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 27th, Assists per 90 91st, Minutes, two years 78th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 47th, European club minutes 84th27thGoals91stAssists78thMinutes62ndStarts47thRecent84thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.31 this player0.15 attacker median91st percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2015
Peak
€35M
Dec 2019
Model target
€3.5M
May 2026
Valuations
35
4 club changes
May 2026€3.5MBesiktas JKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3.5M, Besiktas JK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-07-01€50kVitesse Arnhem
2015-11-11€700kVitesse Arnhem
2016-02-05€1.3MVitesse Arnhem
2016-04-08€2MVitesse Arnhem
2016-07-15€2.8MVitesse Arnhem
2017-01-18€2.8MVitesse Arnhem
2017-06-07€3.5MVitesse Arnhem
2017-10-26€5MVitesse Arnhem
2018-01-17€5MVitesse Arnhem
2018-06-05€7MSV Werder Bremen
2018-12-18€4.5MSV Werder Bremen
2019-03-06€7MSV Werder Bremen
2019-06-05€20MSV Werder Bremen
2019-12-17€35MSV Werder Bremen
2020-04-08€28MSV Werder Bremen
2020-07-08€22MSV Werder Bremen
2020-11-26€18MSV Werder Bremen
2021-02-10€12MSV Werder Bremen
2021-06-09€9MSV Werder Bremen
2021-12-23€8MNorwich City
2022-06-15€7MNorwich City
2022-10-27€7MGalatasaray
2023-03-14€7.5MGalatasaray
2023-06-08€8.5MGalatasaray
2023-09-27€8.5MBesiktas JK
2023-12-21€7.5MBesiktas JK
2024-03-15€7.5MBesiktas JK
2024-05-31€7.5MBesiktas JK
2024-10-04€8MBesiktas JK
2024-12-23€7.5MBesiktas JK
2025-03-20€7.5MBesiktas JK
2025-06-18€6.5MBesiktas JK
2025-10-01€5MBesiktas JK
2025-12-17€4MBesiktas JK
2026-05-21€3.5MBesiktas JK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.588

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 75% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 56% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Rashica appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).