FairValue

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Dylan

Batubinsika

CBDR Congo · AE Larisa

№ 289432Emerging €446k +0.30

Player dossierSuper League

DylanBatubinsika

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
AE Larisa
League
Super League
Nationality
DR Congo
Age
30
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Batubinsika at €600k. Model A, which never saw Batubinsika during training, estimates €446k: the market value is 35% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.35. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €580k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.30A €446k▲ +0.03B €580k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
33
Minutes
2,737
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
30/33
Min / app
83
Cards
5Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Batubinsika…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €446k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dylan Batubinsika's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 51st, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 48th, Starts 72nd, Minutes, last 365 days 19th, European club minutes 30th51stGoals17thAssists48thMinutes72ndStarts19thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

91% this player83% defender median72nd percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jul 2017
Peak
€2.5M
Dec 2024
Model target
€600k
Jun 2026
Valuations
25
4 club changes
Jun 2026€600kAE LarisaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €600k, AE Larisa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-07-25€150kRoyal Antwerp FC
2017-10-20€600kRoyal Antwerp FC
2018-01-09€1.2MRoyal Antwerp FC
2018-06-03€1.2MRoyal Antwerp FC
2018-12-27€1.2MRoyal Antwerp FC
2019-06-10€1MRoyal Antwerp FC
2019-12-13€1MRoyal Antwerp FC
2020-03-30€800kRoyal Antwerp FC
2020-04-08€650kRoyal Antwerp FC
2020-10-16€800kRoyal Antwerp FC
2021-06-07€1MRoyal Antwerp FC
2021-12-27€700kFC Famalicão
2022-05-31€700kFC Famalicão
2022-09-24€900kMaccabi Haifa
2022-12-20€1MMaccabi Haifa
2023-05-29€1.2MMaccabi Haifa
2023-10-27€1.5MAS Saint-Étienne
2023-12-13€1.5MAS Saint-Étienne
2024-06-11€2MAS Saint-Étienne
2024-12-10€2.5MAS Saint-Étienne
2025-03-24€1.5MAS Saint-Étienne
2025-06-03€1.2MAS Saint-Étienne
2025-10-13€800kAS Saint-Étienne
2025-12-11€700kAS Saint-Étienne
2026-06-04€600kAE Larisa

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.298

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 49% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 22% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Batubinsika appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).