MichaelVerrips

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club: FCV Dender EH
League: Pro League
Nationality: Netherlands
Age: 29
Height: 196 cm
Foot: Right
Valued: 4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Verrips at €450k. Model A, which never saw Verrips during training, estimates €468k: the market value is 4% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.04. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €970k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 37
Minutes: 3,237
Started: 37/37
Min / app: 87
Cards: 1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Verrips…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €450k

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €25k; Aug 2014
Peak: €1.5M; Jun 2019
Model target: €450k; Jun 2026
Valuations: 26; 10 club changes

Jun 2026€450kFCV Dender EHValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €450k, FCV Dender EH. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2014-08-15	€25k	FC Twente Enschede U21
2015-02-21	€50k	FC Twente Enschede U21
2016-07-15	€50k	Sparta Rotterdam
2017-01-18	€100k	Sparta Rotterdam
2017-06-07	€100k	Sparta Rotterdam
2018-03-01	€150k	MVV Maastricht
2018-06-29	€250k	MVV Maastricht
2018-09-14	€400k	KV Mechelen
2019-01-18	€900k	KV Mechelen
2019-06-10	€1.5M	KV Mechelen
2019-12-10	€1M	Sheffield United
2020-04-08	€800k	Sheffield United
2020-10-13	€800k	Sheffield United
2021-05-19	€900k	FC Emmen
2021-11-24	€900k	Sheffield United
2022-06-08	€800k	Fortuna Sittard
2022-11-11	€800k	FC Groningen
2023-06-23	€600k	FC Groningen
2024-01-08	€400k	FC Groningen
2024-03-18	€600k	Fortuna Sittard
2024-05-31	€650k	Fortuna Sittard
2024-10-02	€750k	FCV Dender EH
2024-12-11	€800k	FCV Dender EH
2025-06-12	€800k	FCV Dender EH
2025-12-10	€600k	FCV Dender EH
2026-06-04	€450k	FCV Dender EH

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: −0.039

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 8% of the 350 Pro League players.

See them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 26% of the 485 goalkeepers.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Verrips appears

TerminalPro League in the Player Explorer
TerminalPro League on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).