Florian
Müller
GKGermany · SC Freiburg
Player dossierBundesliga
FlorianMüller
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- SC Freiburg
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Germany
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Müller at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Müller during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 12% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.14. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €551k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 16
- Minutes
- 1,397
- Started
- 15/16
- Min / app
- 87
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Müller…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% goalkeeper median32nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €250k
- Jul 2016
- Peak
- €10M
- Jun 2019
- Model target
- €1.2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 28
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €1.2M, SC Freiburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-07-14 | €250k | 1.FSV Mainz 05 II |
| 2017-02-10 | €275k | 1.FSV Mainz 05 II |
| 2017-06-14 | €275k | 1.FSV Mainz 05 II |
| 2017-12-28 | €225k | 1.FSV Mainz 05 |
| 2018-04-04 | €1M | 1.FSV Mainz 05 |
| 2018-06-05 | €1M | 1.FSV Mainz 05 |
| 2018-10-22 | €4M | 1.FSV Mainz 05 |
| 2018-12-18 | €4M | 1.FSV Mainz 05 |
| 2019-06-05 | €10M | 1.FSV Mainz 05 |
| 2019-12-17 | €6.5M | 1.FSV Mainz 05 |
| 2020-03-11 | €3M | 1.FSV Mainz 05 |
| 2020-04-08 | €2.4M | 1.FSV Mainz 05 |
| 2020-07-08 | €4M | 1.FSV Mainz 05 |
| 2021-02-10 | €4.5M | SC Freiburg |
| 2021-03-31 | €7M | SC Freiburg |
| 2021-06-09 | €8M | SC Freiburg |
| 2021-12-22 | €8M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2022-03-24 | €6M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2022-06-09 | €5.5M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2022-11-09 | €3M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2023-03-29 | €1.5M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2023-06-22 | €1.5M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2023-12-14 | €1.2M | SC Freiburg |
| 2024-05-29 | €1.2M | SC Freiburg |
| 2024-12-20 | €1.2M | SC Freiburg |
| 2025-06-05 | €1.2M | SC Freiburg |
| 2025-12-19 | €1.2M | SC Freiburg |
| 2026-05-27 | €1.2M | SC Freiburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.129
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 10% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 52% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Müller appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- FernandesGKHamburger SV · Bundesliga€1.2M
- CostaCB1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga€1.2M
- ZivzivadzeCF1.FC Heidenheim 1846 · Bundesliga€1.2M
- StenzelRBVfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga€1.2M
- CoosemansGKRSC Anderlecht · goalkeepers€1.2M
- PaleariGKTorino FC · goalkeepers€1.2M
- MontipòGKHellas Verona · goalkeepers€1.2M
- JackersGKClub Brugge KV · goalkeepers€1.2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).