FairValue

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Frederik

Brandhof

CMDenmark · AC Horsens

№ 282954Emerging €500k −0.11

Player dossierSuperliga

FrederikBrandhof

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
AC Horsens
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
29
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
18 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Brandhof at €450k. Model A, which never saw Brandhof during training, estimates €500k: the market value is 10% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €688k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.11A €500k▼ −0.42B €688k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
23
Minutes
888
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
9/23
Min / app
39
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Brandhof…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €450k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €450kModel A €500k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Frederik Brandhof's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 53rd, Minutes, two years 11th, Starts 11th, Minutes, last 365 days 2nd, European club minutes 30th10thGoals53rdAssists11thMinutes11thStarts2ndRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.10 this player0.09 midfielder median53rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2014
Peak
€500k
Jun 2022
Model target
€450k
Dec 2025
Valuations
27
4 club changes
Dec 2025€450kAC HorsensValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €450k, AC Horsens. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-09-07€50kSkive IK
2014-12-18€50kSkive IK
2015-09-02€150kSkive IK
2016-01-25€150kSkive IK
2016-08-12€150kSkive IK
2016-12-12€200kSkive IK
2017-06-21€300kSkive IK
2017-12-18€300kSkive IK
2018-06-07€300kSkive IK
2018-12-21€250kFC Midtjylland
2019-06-24€250kViborg FF
2019-09-09€300kViborg FF
2019-12-22€400kViborg FF
2020-04-08€325kViborg FF
2020-07-31€400kViborg FF
2020-12-23€400kViborg FF
2021-06-04€400kViborg FF
2021-12-28€400kAarhus GF
2022-06-20€500kAarhus GF
2022-09-13€400kAarhus GF
2022-12-22€450kAarhus GF
2023-06-26€400kAarhus GF
2023-12-21€350kAarhus GF
2024-06-10€300kAarhus GF
2024-12-09€350kAarhus GF
2025-06-16€350kAarhus GF
2025-12-18€450kAC Horsens

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.106

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 23% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€450kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 15% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€450kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Brandhof appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).