FairValue

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Giannis

Bouzoukis

AMGreece · Volos NFC

№ 355761Emerging €719k −0.47

Player dossierSuper League

GiannisBouzoukis

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Volos NFC
League
Super League
Nationality
Greece
Age
28
Height
172 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bouzoukis at €450k. Model A, which never saw Bouzoukis during training, estimates €719k: the market value is 37% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.60. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €935k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.47A €719k▼ −0.73B €935k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
52
Minutes
2,890
Goals
3
Assists
3
Started
35/52
Min / app
56
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bouzoukis…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €450k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €450kModel A €719k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Giannis Bouzoukis's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 54th, Assists per 90 50th, Minutes, two years 56th, Starts 46th, Minutes, last 365 days 38th, European club minutes 30th54thGoals50thAssists56thMinutes46thStarts38thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

2,890 this player2,607 midfielder median56th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Feb 2018
Peak
€1.5M
Aug 2020
Model target
€450k
Jun 2026
Valuations
20
3 club changes
Jun 2026€450kVolos NFCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €450k, Volos NFC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-02-25€50kPanathinaikos
2018-05-22€200kPanathinaikos
2018-12-07€600kPanathinaikos
2019-02-07€800kPanathinaikos
2019-05-21€1.3MPanathinaikos
2019-12-18€1.3MPanathinaikos
2020-04-08€1.1MPanathinaikos
2020-08-04€1.5MPanathinaikos
2021-02-12€1MPanathinaikos
2021-11-01€800kPanathinaikos
2022-06-09€700kOFI Crete
2022-11-07€500kOFI Crete
2023-05-22€450kPanetolikos
2023-12-20€400kPanetolikos
2024-03-06€350kPanetolikos
2024-05-30€300kPanetolikos
2024-12-18€350kPanetolikos
2025-05-23€450kPanetolikos
2025-12-12€450kVolos NFC
2026-06-04€450kVolos NFC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.469

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 35% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€450kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 15% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€450kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bouzoukis appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).