FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Javi

Muñoz

CMSpain · Getafe CF

№ 282421Emerging €1.7M −0.37

Player dossierLaLiga

JaviMuñoz

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Getafe CF
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
31
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Muñoz at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Muñoz during training, estimates €1.7M: the market value is 31% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.45. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €907k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.37A €1.7M▲ +0.28B €907k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
58
Minutes
3,595
Goals
3
Assists
3
Started
36/58
Min / app
62
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Muñoz…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €1.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Javi Muñoz's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 46th, Assists per 90 41st, Minutes, two years 67th, Starts 37th, Minutes, last 365 days 25th, European club minutes 30th46thGoals41stAssists67thMinutes37thStarts25thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,595 this player2,607 midfielder median67th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Apr 2014
Peak
€3M
Jun 2024
Model target
€1.2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
27
9 club changes
Jun 2026€1.2MGetafe CFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.2M, Getafe CF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-04-24€100kReal Madrid U19
2016-08-01€300kReal Madrid Castilla
2016-10-27€150kReal Madrid Castilla
2017-02-02€150kReal Madrid Castilla
2017-06-30€150kReal Madrid Castilla
2017-08-17€200kLorca FC
2018-01-01€300kLorca FC
2018-05-30€300kLorca FC
2019-02-19€600kReal Oviedo
2019-06-29€500kReal Oviedo
2019-12-20€400kDeportivo Alavés
2020-04-08€325kCD Tenerife
2020-10-08€300kCD Mirandés
2021-01-08€600kCD Mirandés
2021-06-24€700kCD Mirandés
2021-12-27€1MSD Eibar
2022-06-29€1MSD Eibar
2022-12-29€1MSD Eibar
2023-06-14€1MSD Eibar
2023-12-22€2MUD Las Palmas
2024-03-21€2.5MUD Las Palmas
2024-06-07€3MUD Las Palmas
2024-12-27€3MUD Las Palmas
2025-03-21€2.5MUD Las Palmas
2025-06-09€2MUD Las Palmas
2025-12-12€1.5MGetafe CF
2026-06-05€1.2MGetafe CF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.370

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 15% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 35% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Muñoz appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).