Timo
Becker
CBGermany · FC Schalke 04
Player dossierBundesliga
TimoBecker
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- FC Schalke 04
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Germany
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 16 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Becker at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Becker during training, estimates €1.8M: the market value is 17% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 32
- Minutes
- 2,596
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 30/32
- Min / app
- 81
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Becker…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
94% this player83% defender median80th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Jan 2016
- Peak
- €2M
- Jun 2024
- Model target
- €1.5M
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 30
- 6 club changes
Dec 2025: €1.5M, FC Schalke 04. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-01-15 | €25k | Rot-Weiss Essen U19 |
| 2016-04-01 | €50k | Rot-Weiss Essen U19 |
| 2016-07-15 | €50k | Rot-Weiss Essen |
| 2016-11-20 | €50k | Rot-Weiss Essen |
| 2017-07-01 | €50k | Rot-Weiss Essen |
| 2018-02-03 | €100k | Rot-Weiss Essen |
| 2018-07-15 | €125k | Rot-Weiss Essen |
| 2018-10-08 | €150k | Rot-Weiss Essen |
| 2019-02-05 | €150k | Rot-Weiss Essen |
| 2019-04-02 | €125k | Rot-Weiss Essen |
| 2019-07-15 | €125k | Rot-Weiss Essen |
| 2020-01-21 | €150k | FC Schalke 04 II |
| 2020-03-11 | €800k | FC Schalke 04 II |
| 2020-04-08 | €650k | FC Schalke 04 II |
| 2020-07-08 | €1M | FC Schalke 04 II |
| 2020-11-26 | €500k | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2021-02-10 | €500k | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2021-03-31 | €1M | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2021-06-09 | €1.3M | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2021-10-13 | €700k | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2021-12-15 | €450k | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2022-06-16 | €600k | FC Hansa Rostock |
| 2022-11-30 | €600k | Holstein Kiel |
| 2023-06-28 | €800k | Holstein Kiel |
| 2023-12-15 | €1M | Holstein Kiel |
| 2024-03-22 | €1.5M | Holstein Kiel |
| 2024-06-06 | €2M | Holstein Kiel |
| 2024-12-20 | €2M | Holstein Kiel |
| 2025-06-05 | €1.5M | Holstein Kiel |
| 2025-12-16 | €1.5M | FC Schalke 04 |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.191
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 12% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 43% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Becker appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- HofmannAMBayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga€1.5M
- KüblerRBSC Freiburg · Bundesliga€1.5M
- GregoritschCFFC Augsburg · Bundesliga€1.5M
- MweneLB1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga€1.5M
- TraunerCBFeyenoord Rotterdam · defenders€1.5M
- WalkerRBBurnley FC · defenders€1.5M
- TrippierRBNewcastle United · defenders€1.5M
- MeunierRBLOSC Lille · defenders€1.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).