FairValue

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Emre

Akbaba

AMTürkiye · Eyüpspor

№ 278654Emerging €240k +0.51

Player dossierSüper Lig

EmreAkbaba

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Eyüpspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
33
Height
180 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Akbaba at €400k. Model A, which never saw Akbaba during training, estimates €240k: the market value is 67% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.67. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €398k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.51A €240k▲ 0.00B €398k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
59
Minutes
3,205
Goals
11
Assists
3
Started
36/59
Min / app
54
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Akbaba…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €240k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Emre Akbaba's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 94th, Assists per 90 46th, Minutes, two years 60th, Starts 36th, Minutes, last 365 days 32nd, European club minutes 30th94thGoals46thAssists60thMinutes36thStarts32ndRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.31 this player0.08 midfielder median94th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2013
Peak
€5.5M
May 2018
Model target
€400k
May 2026
Valuations
40
7 club changes
May 2026€400kEyüpsporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €400k, Eyüpspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-07-25€50kKahramanmaras Büyüksehir Belediyespor
2014-03-19€200kAlanyaspor
2014-07-08€300kAlanyaspor
2015-01-05€800kAlanyaspor
2015-06-08€2MAlanyaspor
2016-01-18€2MAntalyaspor
2016-07-15€2.3MAntalyaspor
2017-01-10€3MAlanyaspor
2017-06-09€3MAlanyaspor
2018-02-12€4.5MAlanyaspor
2018-05-29€5.5MAlanyaspor
2019-01-04€5.5MGalatasaray
2019-06-04€4.5MGalatasaray
2019-10-04€3.5MGalatasaray
2020-01-03€2.8MGalatasaray
2020-03-25€3MGalatasaray
2020-04-08€2.4MGalatasaray
2020-08-04€2.9MGalatasaray
2020-12-23€2.9MGalatasaray
2021-03-16€2MGalatasaray
2021-05-21€2.5MGalatasaray
2021-10-12€2.9MAlanyaspor
2022-01-04€2.9MAlanyaspor
2022-03-31€3.5MAlanyaspor
2022-06-01€4MAlanyaspor
2022-09-13€2MAdana Demirspor
2022-10-27€2MAdana Demirspor
2023-03-14€2MAdana Demirspor
2023-06-08€1.8MAdana Demirspor
2023-09-27€1.8MAdana Demirspor
2023-12-21€1.6MAdana Demirspor
2024-03-15€1.5MAdana Demirspor
2024-05-31€1.3MAdana Demirspor
2024-10-04€1.2MEyüpspor
2024-12-23€1MEyüpspor
2025-03-20€900kEyüpspor
2025-06-18€800kEyüpspor
2025-10-01€600kEyüpspor
2025-12-17€500kEyüpspor
2026-05-21€400kEyüpspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.512

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 15% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 12% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Akbaba appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).