FairValue

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Abdulkadir

Parmak

CMTürkiye · Hatayspor

№ 276337Emerging €472k −0.99

Player dossierSüper Lig

AbdulkadirParmak

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Hatayspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
31
Height
176 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Parmak at €175k. Model A, which never saw Parmak during training, estimates €472k: the market value is 63% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.70. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €510k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.99A €472k▼ −1.07B €510k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
36
Minutes
2,189
Goals
2
Assists
2
Started
24/36
Min / app
61
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Parmak…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €175k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €175kModel A €472k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Abdulkadir Parmak's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 50th, Assists per 90 45th, Minutes, two years 41st, Starts 45th, Minutes, last 365 days 48th, European club minutes 30th50thGoals45thAssists41stMinutes45thStarts48thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.08 this player0.08 midfielder median50th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jul 2013
Peak
€4M
Aug 2020
Model target
€175k
Dec 2025
Valuations
36
10 club changes
Dec 2025€175kHataysporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €175k, Hatayspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-07-02€25kTrabzonspor U21
2013-07-22€50kTrabzonspor U21
2014-07-01€100k1461 Trabzon
2015-07-22€400k1461 Trabzon
2016-01-04€500k1461 Trabzon
2016-07-14€1M1461 Trabzon
2017-01-09€600kAltinordu FK
2017-06-30€300kTrabzonspor
2018-02-05€150kAdana Demirspor
2018-05-30€50kAdana Demirspor
2019-01-04€50kTrabzonspor
2019-03-27€1.3MTrabzonspor
2019-06-04€2MTrabzonspor
2019-10-04€2.5MTrabzonspor
2020-01-03€3.2MTrabzonspor
2020-04-08€2.5MTrabzonspor
2020-08-04€4MTrabzonspor
2020-12-23€4MTrabzonspor
2021-03-16€3.8MTrabzonspor
2021-05-21€3MTrabzonspor
2021-10-12€2.1MTrabzonspor
2022-01-04€1.5MTrabzonspor
2022-03-30€2MKayserispor
2022-06-01€2MKayserispor
2022-10-27€1.8MGaziantep FK
2023-03-14€1.2MTrabzonspor
2023-06-08€950kTrabzonspor
2023-09-27€600kSivasspor
2023-12-21€450kSivasspor
2024-03-15€350kHatayspor
2024-05-31€250kHatayspor
2024-10-04€200kHatayspor
2024-12-23€175kHatayspor
2025-03-20€175kHatayspor
2025-06-18€175kHatayspor
2025-12-29€175kHatayspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.991

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 6% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€175kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 3% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€175kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Parmak appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).