FairValue

Checking model

Esc

  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
  • EnvironmentTerminalExplore, compare and track players; market, league and model views.
  • EnvironmentStoriesValuations, head-to-heads and research findings, told as stories.
  • TerminalPlayer ExplorerSearch, filter and sort the player export.
  • TerminalComparison StudioTwo to four players on one scale.
  • TerminalWatchlistsNamed collections, kept in this browser.
  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

↑ ↓ to move · Enter to open · Esc to closeLoading player index…

Theofanis

Tzandaris

DMGreece · Asteras Aktor

№ 231471Emerging €179k −0.02

Player dossierSuper League

TheofanisTzandaris

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Asteras Aktor
League
Super League
Nationality
Greece
Age
32
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Tzandaris at €175k. Model A, which never saw Tzandaris during training, estimates €179k: the market value is 2% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €339k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.02A €179k▼ −0.66B €339k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
36
Minutes
1,358
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
14/36
Min / app
38
Cards
6Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Tzandaris…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €175k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €175kModel A €179k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Theofanis Tzandaris's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 37th, Minutes, two years 21st, Starts 11th, Minutes, last 365 days 10th, European club minutes 30th10thGoals37thAssists21stMinutes11thStarts10thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.07 this player0.09 midfielder median37th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jul 2012
Peak
€800k
May 2015
Model target
€175k
Jun 2026
Valuations
27
9 club changes
Jun 2026€175kAsteras AktorValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €175k, Asteras Aktor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-07-29€150kPAOK Thessaloniki
2012-08-26€250kPAOK Thessaloniki
2012-11-22€150kAnagennisi Epanomis
2013-03-28€150kAnagennisi Epanomis
2013-12-02€250kPAOK Thessaloniki
2014-11-11€600kPAOK Thessaloniki
2015-05-10€800kPAOK Thessaloniki
2015-09-27€600kOlympiacos Piraeus
2016-06-21€400kPanionios FC
2016-12-21€300kOlympiacos Piraeus
2017-12-18€300kPanathinaikos
2018-05-22€500kPanathinaikos
2018-12-07€450kPanathinaikos
2019-05-21€300kPanathinaikos
2019-12-18€250kPanathinaikos
2020-07-10€250kSpartak Trnava
2021-02-12€250kPAS Lamia 1964
2021-11-01€250kPAS Lamia 1964
2022-06-09€250kPAS Lamia 1964
2022-11-07€300kPAS Lamia 1964
2023-05-22€300kPAS Lamia 1964
2023-12-20€300kPAS Lamia 1964
2024-05-30€300kPAS Lamia 1964
2024-12-18€250kAsteras Aktor
2025-05-23€225kAsteras Aktor
2025-12-12€200kAsteras Aktor
2026-06-04€175kAsteras Aktor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.020

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 8% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€175kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 3% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€175kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Tzandaris appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).