FairValue

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Portrait of Robin Gosens

Robin

Gosens

LBGermany · ACF Fiorentina

№ 273132Established €3.3M +0.19

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

RobinGosens

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
ACF Fiorentina
League
Serie A
Nationality
Germany
Age
31
Height
183 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Gosens at €4M. Model A, which never saw Gosens during training, estimates €3.3M: the market value is 21% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.19A €3.3M▲ +0.54B €2.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
64
Minutes
4,820
Goals
9
Assists
9
Started
57/64
Min / app
75
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gosens…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4MModel A €3.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Robin Gosens's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 97th, Assists per 90 92nd, Minutes, two years 81st, Starts 67th, Minutes, last 365 days 63rd, European club minutes 63rd97thGoals92ndAssists81stMinutes67thStarts63rdRecent63rdEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.17 this player0.03 defender median97th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Feb 2014
Peak
€35M
Mar 2021
Model target
€4M
May 2026
Valuations
34
5 club changes
May 2026€4MACF FiorentinaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €4M, ACF Fiorentina. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-02-10€100kFC Dordrecht
2014-08-11€250kFC Dordrecht
2015-02-11€400kFC Dordrecht
2015-07-01€450kHeracles Almelo
2016-02-05€600kHeracles Almelo
2016-07-15€750kHeracles Almelo
2017-01-18€800kHeracles Almelo
2017-06-07€1MHeracles Almelo
2017-12-29€1MAtalanta BC
2018-06-07€2.5MAtalanta BC
2018-12-20€6MAtalanta BC
2019-06-06€8MAtalanta BC
2019-10-08€12MAtalanta BC
2019-12-12€18MAtalanta BC
2020-03-03€25MAtalanta BC
2020-04-08€20MAtalanta BC
2020-08-25€27MAtalanta BC
2020-12-29€28MAtalanta BC
2021-03-23€35MAtalanta BC
2021-06-01€35MAtalanta BC
2021-12-28€35MAtalanta BC
2022-06-07€28MInter Milan
2022-09-27€22MInter Milan
2022-11-11€18MInter Milan
2023-06-15€15MInter Milan
2023-12-14€15M1.FC Union Berlin
2024-03-27€12M1.FC Union Berlin
2024-05-29€12M1.FC Union Berlin
2024-10-18€8MACF Fiorentina
2024-12-18€8MACF Fiorentina
2025-06-17€8MACF Fiorentina
2025-12-23€6MACF Fiorentina
2026-03-24€4.5MACF Fiorentina
2026-05-29€4MACF Fiorentina

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.194

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 39% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 65% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Gosens appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).