FairValue

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Kingsley

Ehizibue

RBNetherlands · Udinese Calcio

№ 272812Established €1.8M +0.10

Player dossierSerie A

KingsleyEhizibue

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Udinese Calcio
League
Serie A
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
31
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ehizibue at €2M. Model A, which never saw Ehizibue during training, estimates €1.8M: the market value is 11% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.10A €1.8M▼ −0.20B €2.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
68
Minutes
4,590
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
53/68
Min / app
68
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ehizibue…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €1.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Kingsley Ehizibue's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 56th, Assists per 90 37th, Minutes, two years 78th, Starts 40th, Minutes, last 365 days 61st, European club minutes 30th56thGoals37thAssists78thMinutes40thStarts61stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

4,590 this player2,860 defender median78th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Sept 2014
Peak
€3M
Dec 2024
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
29
2 club changes
May 2026€2MUdinese CalcioValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, Udinese Calcio. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-09-27€25kPEC Zwolle
2015-02-12€100kPEC Zwolle
2015-07-01€150kPEC Zwolle
2016-02-05€500kPEC Zwolle
2016-07-15€850kPEC Zwolle
2017-01-18€850kPEC Zwolle
2017-06-07€750kPEC Zwolle
2017-10-26€1.3MPEC Zwolle
2018-01-17€2MPEC Zwolle
2018-06-12€2MPEC Zwolle
2018-12-28€2MPEC Zwolle
2019-06-12€2MPEC Zwolle
2019-10-02€2.5M1.FC Köln
2019-12-17€2.5M1.FC Köln
2020-04-08€2M1.FC Köln
2020-09-16€2.5M1.FC Köln
2021-02-10€1.7M1.FC Köln
2021-06-09€1.7M1.FC Köln
2021-12-22€1.3M1.FC Köln
2022-06-09€1.3M1.FC Köln
2022-11-11€1.3MUdinese Calcio
2023-03-21€2.3MUdinese Calcio
2023-06-15€2.5MUdinese Calcio
2023-12-20€2.5MUdinese Calcio
2024-06-05€2.2MUdinese Calcio
2024-12-18€3MUdinese Calcio
2025-06-17€2.4MUdinese Calcio
2025-12-23€2MUdinese Calcio
2026-05-29€2MUdinese Calcio

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.101

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 20% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ehizibue appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).