FairValue

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Allan

Saint-Maximin

LWFrance · RC Lens

№ 272642Elite €9.4M +0.06

Player dossierLigue 1

AllanSaint-Maximin

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
RC Lens
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
France
Age
29
Height
173 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Saint-Maximin at €10M. Model A, which never saw Saint-Maximin during training, estimates €9.4M: the market value is 6% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.06. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.06A €9.4M▲ +0.28B €7.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
39
Minutes
2,141
Goals
7
Assists
8
Started
22/39
Min / app
55
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Saint-Maximin…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €10MModel A €9.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Allan Saint-Maximin's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 56th, Assists per 90 94th, Minutes, two years 48th, Starts 46th, Minutes, last 365 days 10th, European club minutes 90th56thGoals94thAssists48thMinutes46thStarts10thRecent90thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.34 this player0.15 attacker median94th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jul 2013
Peak
€40M
Sept 2022
Model target
€10M
Jun 2026
Valuations
37
9 club changes
Jun 2026€10MRC LensValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €10M, RC Lens. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-07-22€150kAS Saint-Étienne
2013-09-13€500kAS Saint-Étienne
2014-01-14€500kAS Saint-Étienne
2014-08-07€750kAS Saint-Étienne
2015-01-14€1.5MAS Saint-Étienne
2015-06-06€1MAS Saint-Étienne
2016-02-15€2MHannover 96
2016-07-13€2MAS Monaco
2017-01-16€3MSC Bastia
2017-06-01€3MSC Bastia
2017-10-12€9MOGC Nice
2018-01-24€15MOGC Nice
2018-06-04€20MOGC Nice
2018-12-17€20MOGC Nice
2019-03-07€25MOGC Nice
2019-06-03€25MOGC Nice
2019-12-10€25MNewcastle United
2020-04-08€20MNewcastle United
2020-07-30€28MNewcastle United
2020-10-13€32MNewcastle United
2021-03-18€28MNewcastle United
2021-06-08€30MNewcastle United
2021-12-23€32MNewcastle United
2022-06-15€32MNewcastle United
2022-09-15€40MNewcastle United
2022-11-03€40MNewcastle United
2023-03-16€35MNewcastle United
2023-06-20€32MNewcastle United
2023-10-24€24MAl-Ahli SFC
2023-12-15€20MAl-Ahli SFC
2024-06-04€18MAl-Ahli SFC
2024-10-04€18MFenerbahce
2024-12-23€17MFenerbahce
2025-03-20€15MFenerbahce
2025-06-18€13MFenerbahce
2025-12-29€10MCF América
2026-06-01€10MRC Lens

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.057

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 66% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 77% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Saint-Maximin appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).