FairValue

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Sandi

Lovrić

CMSlovenia · Hellas Verona

№ 268429Established €2.9M +0.19

Player dossierSerie A

SandiLovrić

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Hellas Verona
League
Serie A
Nationality
Slovenia
Age
28
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Lovrić at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Lovrić during training, estimates €2.9M: the market value is 21% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.19A €2.9M▲ +0.56B €2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
55
Minutes
3,162
Goals
2
Assists
5
Started
39/55
Min / app
57
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lovrić…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €2.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Sandi Lovrić's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 37th, Assists per 90 69th, Minutes, two years 59th, Starts 53rd, Minutes, last 365 days 19th, European club minutes 30th37thGoals69thAssists59thMinutes53rdStarts19thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.14 this player0.09 midfielder median69th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2014
Peak
€10M
Jun 2023
Model target
€3.5M
May 2026
Valuations
34
3 club changes
May 2026€3.5MHellas VeronaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3.5M, Hellas Verona. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-07-30€50kSK Sturm Graz
2014-10-21€200kSK Sturm Graz
2015-01-11€200kSK Sturm Graz
2015-06-17€300kSK Sturm Graz
2015-12-29€300kSK Sturm Graz
2016-06-01€350kSK Sturm Graz
2016-12-22€350kSK Sturm Graz
2017-06-02€350kSK Sturm Graz
2017-08-01€500kSK Sturm Graz
2017-10-11€1MSK Sturm Graz
2018-01-02€1MSK Sturm Graz
2018-06-14€1MSK Sturm Graz
2018-12-19€1MSK Sturm Graz
2019-06-03€1MSK Sturm Graz
2020-01-06€1MFC Lugano
2020-04-08€900kFC Lugano
2020-07-31€900kFC Lugano
2020-12-28€900kFC Lugano
2021-04-15€1.3MFC Lugano
2021-06-23€1.5MFC Lugano
2022-01-03€1.5MFC Lugano
2022-03-28€2MFC Lugano
2022-06-08€2.5MFC Lugano
2022-09-27€3.5MUdinese Calcio
2022-11-11€5MUdinese Calcio
2023-03-21€7MUdinese Calcio
2023-06-15€10MUdinese Calcio
2023-12-20€9MUdinese Calcio
2024-06-05€8MUdinese Calcio
2024-12-18€8MUdinese Calcio
2025-06-17€8.5MUdinese Calcio
2025-12-23€6MUdinese Calcio
2026-03-24€4.5MHellas Verona
2026-05-29€3.5MHellas Verona

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.188

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 34% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 59% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Lovrić appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).