FairValue

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Matej

Hanousek

LBCzech Republic · Genclerbirligi Ankara

№ 267473Emerging €277k −1.02

Player dossierSüper Lig

MatejHanousek

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Genclerbirligi Ankara
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Czech Republic
Age
32
Height
182 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Hanousek at €100k. Model A, which never saw Hanousek during training, estimates €277k: the market value is 64% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.77. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €296k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −1.02A €277k▼ −1.08B €296k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
36
Minutes
2,122
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
22/36
Min / app
59
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hanousek…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €100kModel A €277k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Matej Hanousek's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 36th, Starts 16th, Minutes, last 365 days 39th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists36thMinutes16thStarts39thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

1,355 this player1,687 defender median39th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Sept 2013
Peak
€900k
Jun 2019
Model target
€100k
May 2026
Valuations
32
7 club changes
May 2026€100kGenclerbirligi AnkaraValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €100k, Genclerbirligi Ankara. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-09-24€100kFK Dukla Prague
2014-05-08€200kFK Dukla Prague
2015-10-14€400kFK Jablonec
2016-08-03€300kFK Jablonec
2016-12-19€300kFK Jablonec
2017-06-10€300kFK Jablonec
2017-12-21€400kFK Jablonec
2018-07-14€450kFK Jablonec
2018-10-29€600kFK Jablonec
2018-12-30€750kFK Jablonec
2019-06-25€900kAC Sparta Prague
2019-12-07€900kAC Sparta Prague
2020-04-08€725kAC Sparta Prague
2020-07-10€900kAC Sparta Prague
2020-12-27€700kAC Sparta Prague
2021-04-19€500kAC Sparta Prague
2021-06-25€500kAC Sparta Prague
2021-12-31€500kWisla Kraków
2022-06-14€500kWisla Kraków
2022-10-27€500kGaziantep FK
2023-03-14€500kMKE Ankaragücü
2023-06-08€800kMKE Ankaragücü
2023-09-27€800kMKE Ankaragücü
2023-12-21€750kMKE Ankaragücü
2024-03-15€500kMKE Ankaragücü
2024-05-31€200kMKE Ankaragücü
2024-12-18€200kAthens Kallithea
2025-04-02€200kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2025-06-25€175kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2025-10-01€150kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2025-12-17€150kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2026-05-21€100kGenclerbirligi Ankara

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−1.020

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 1% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 1% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Hanousek appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).