FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Jari

Vandeputte

CMBelgium · US Cremonese

№ 258827Established €1.6M +0.63

Player dossierSerie A

JariVandeputte

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
US Cremonese
League
Serie A
Nationality
Belgium
Age
30
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Vandeputte at €3M. Model A, which never saw Vandeputte during training, estimates €1.6M: the market value is 87% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.87. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.63A €1.6M▲ +0.73B €1.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
33
Minutes
2,035
Goals
1
Assists
6
Started
24/33
Min / app
62
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Vandeputte…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €1.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Jari Vandeputte's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 31st, Assists per 90 93rd, Minutes, two years 37th, Starts 57th, Minutes, last 365 days 66th, European club minutes 30th31stGoals93rdAssists37thMinutes57thStarts66thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.27 this player0.09 midfielder median93rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Aug 2013
Peak
€4M
Dec 2025
Model target
€3M
May 2026
Valuations
30
7 club changes
May 2026€3MUS CremoneseValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3M, US Cremonese. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-08-12€300kKAA Gent
2014-02-10€300kKAA Gent
2014-06-28€500kKAA Gent
2014-10-09€400kKSV Roeselare (-2020)
2015-07-01€300kFC Eindhoven
2016-02-05€250kFC Eindhoven
2016-07-15€250kFC Eindhoven
2017-02-02€200kFC Eindhoven
2017-06-21€200kFC Eindhoven
2017-12-18€250kAS Viterbese Castrense
2018-06-19€300kAS Viterbese Castrense
2018-12-15€300kAS Viterbese Castrense
2019-06-21€275kAS Viterbese Castrense
2019-12-18€400kLR Vicenza Virtus
2020-04-08€325kLR Vicenza Virtus
2020-06-17€400kLR Vicenza Virtus
2021-02-22€400kLR Vicenza
2021-06-24€400kLR Vicenza
2021-12-22€475kUS Catanzaro
2022-06-22€550kUS Catanzaro
2022-12-21€700kUS Catanzaro
2023-06-21€1MUS Catanzaro
2023-10-11€1.7MUS Catanzaro
2023-12-27€2MUS Catanzaro
2024-06-03€3.5MUS Catanzaro
2024-12-23€3MUS Cremonese
2025-06-02€3.2MUS Cremonese
2025-12-23€4MUS Cremonese
2026-03-24€3.5MUS Cremonese
2026-05-29€3MUS Cremonese

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.625

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 29% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 56% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Vandeputte appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).