FairValue

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Bart

Nieuwkoop

RBNetherlands · Feyenoord Rotterdam

№ 257987Emerging €1.2M +0.26

Player dossierEredivisie

BartNieuwkoop

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Feyenoord Rotterdam
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
30
Height
181 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Nieuwkoop at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Nieuwkoop during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 30% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.30. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.26A €1.2M▲ +0.21B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
39
Minutes
1,597
Goals
2
Assists
2
Started
18/39
Min / app
41
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Nieuwkoop…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Bart Nieuwkoop's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 90th, Assists per 90 80th, Minutes, two years 25th, Starts 5th, Minutes, last 365 days 19th, European club minutes 96th90thGoals80thAssists25thMinutes5thStarts19thRecent96thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

33% this player0% defender median96th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2015
Peak
€4M
Dec 2023
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
25
4 club changes
May 2026€1.5MFeyenoord RotterdamValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, Feyenoord Rotterdam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-07-01€50kFeyenoord Rotterdam
2015-11-11€350kFeyenoord Rotterdam
2016-02-05€500kFeyenoord Rotterdam
2016-07-15€750kFeyenoord Rotterdam
2017-01-18€750kFeyenoord Rotterdam
2017-06-07€1.5MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2018-01-17€1.5MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2018-06-12€1.3MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2018-12-28€1.5MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2019-06-12€1.5MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2019-12-18€1.5MWillem II Tilburg
2020-04-08€1.2MWillem II Tilburg
2020-10-14€2MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2021-01-06€2.5MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2021-05-19€2.2MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2022-01-06€2.2MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2022-04-12€2.5MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2022-11-04€2.5MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2023-06-09€3MUnion Saint-Gilloise
2023-12-15€4MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2024-05-31€4MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2024-12-17€3MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2025-05-28€2MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2025-12-02€2MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2026-05-28€1.5MFeyenoord Rotterdam

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.265

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 54% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 43% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Nieuwkoop appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).