Tyrone
Mings
CBEngland · Aston Villa
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierPremier League
TyroneMings
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Aston Villa
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- England
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 196 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 3 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Mings at €3M. Model A, which never saw Mings during training, estimates €4.5M: the market value is 33% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.50. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 41
- Minutes
- 3,207
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 36/41
- Min / app
- 78
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mings…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
18% this player0% defender median82nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Dec 2012
- Peak
- €32M
- Dec 2021
- Model target
- €3M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 31
- 2 club changes
Jun 2026: €3M, Aston Villa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-12-13 | €25k | Ipswich Town |
| 2014-01-08 | €300k | Ipswich Town |
| 2014-08-25 | €1.5M | Ipswich Town |
| 2015-02-24 | €3M | Ipswich Town |
| 2015-07-01 | €6M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2016-02-09 | €6M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2016-08-01 | €6M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2017-02-20 | €5M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2017-06-28 | €5M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2018-01-02 | €4M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2018-05-28 | €4M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2018-12-19 | €3.5M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2019-06-13 | €5M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2019-09-12 | €18M | Aston Villa |
| 2019-12-10 | €28M | Aston Villa |
| 2020-04-08 | €22.5M | Aston Villa |
| 2020-10-13 | €27M | Aston Villa |
| 2021-03-18 | €27M | Aston Villa |
| 2021-05-28 | €30M | Aston Villa |
| 2021-12-23 | €32M | Aston Villa |
| 2022-06-15 | €30M | Aston Villa |
| 2022-11-03 | €25M | Aston Villa |
| 2023-06-20 | €22M | Aston Villa |
| 2023-12-19 | €16M | Aston Villa |
| 2024-05-27 | €13M | Aston Villa |
| 2024-10-01 | €10M | Aston Villa |
| 2024-12-16 | €8M | Aston Villa |
| 2025-03-18 | €6M | Aston Villa |
| 2025-05-30 | €5M | Aston Villa |
| 2025-12-09 | €4M | Aston Villa |
| 2026-06-03 | €3M | Aston Villa |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.406
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 12% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 59% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Mings appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- WelbeckCFBrighton & Hove Albion · Premier League€3M
- KeaneCBEverton FC · Premier League€3M
- DaviesCBTottenham Hotspur · Premier League€3M
- JiménezCFFulham FC · Premier League€3M
- AlabaCBReal Madrid · defenders€3M
- VrijCBInter Milan · defenders€3M
- WeiserRBSV Werder Bremen · defenders€3M
- CanCBBorussia Dortmund · defenders€3M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).