FairValue

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Pione

Sisto

LWDenmark · AE Larisa

№ 252641Emerging €352k +0.53

Player dossierSuper League

PioneSisto

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
AE Larisa
League
Super League
Nationality
Denmark
Age
31
Height
172 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sisto at €600k. Model A, which never saw Sisto during training, estimates €352k: the market value is 71% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.71. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €497k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.53A €352k▲ +0.19B €497k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
37
Minutes
2,036
Goals
0
Assists
2
Started
24/37
Min / app
55
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sisto…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €352k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Pione Sisto's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 3rd, Assists per 90 27th, Minutes, two years 46th, Starts 60th, Minutes, last 365 days 32nd, European club minutes 28th3rdGoals27thAssists46thMinutes60thStarts32ndRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

65% this player59% attacker median60th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Mar 2013
Peak
€15M
Jan 2018
Model target
€600k
Jun 2026
Valuations
32
6 club changes
Jun 2026€600kAE LarisaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €600k, AE Larisa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-03-04€100kFC Midtjylland U19
2013-06-17€150kFC Midtjylland U19
2013-09-16€300kFC Midtjylland
2014-02-10€400kFC Midtjylland
2014-08-31€750kFC Midtjylland
2015-02-06€2MFC Midtjylland
2015-09-02€3.5MFC Midtjylland
2016-01-21€3.5MFC Midtjylland
2016-08-04€6MCelta de Vigo
2017-01-24€4MCelta de Vigo
2017-06-05€5MCelta de Vigo
2018-01-01€15MCelta de Vigo
2018-05-30€15MCelta de Vigo
2018-12-21€10MCelta de Vigo
2019-06-11€8MCelta de Vigo
2019-12-20€6MCelta de Vigo
2020-04-08€4.8MCelta de Vigo
2020-12-23€4.5MFC Midtjylland
2021-06-04€4.5MFC Midtjylland
2021-12-28€3.5MFC Midtjylland
2022-06-20€3MFC Midtjylland
2022-12-22€3MFC Midtjylland
2023-06-26€2MFC Midtjylland
2023-09-27€2MAlanyaspor
2023-12-21€1.7MAlanyaspor
2024-03-15€1.7MAlanyaspor
2024-05-31€1.3MAlanyaspor
2024-12-18€1.3MAris Thessaloniki
2025-05-23€1MAris Thessaloniki
2025-12-12€800kAris Thessaloniki
2026-03-06€700kAE Larisa
2026-06-04€600kAE Larisa

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.535

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 49% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 19% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sisto appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).