FairValue

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Arno

Verschueren

AMBelgium · FC Twente Enschede

№ 250591Emerging €1.8M −0.93

Player dossierEredivisie

ArnoVerschueren

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
FC Twente Enschede
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Belgium
Age
29
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Verschueren at €700k. Model A, which never saw Verschueren during training, estimates €1.8M: the market value is 61% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.54. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.93A €1.8M▼ −1.51B €3.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
72
Minutes
2,839
Goals
3
Assists
4
Started
25/72
Min / app
39
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Verschueren…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €1.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Arno Verschueren's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 54th, Assists per 90 63rd, Minutes, two years 55th, Starts 7th, Minutes, last 365 days 20th, European club minutes 60th54thGoals63rdAssists55thMinutes7thStarts20thRecent60thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.13 this player0.09 midfielder median63rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Oct 2014
Peak
€2.7M
May 2024
Model target
€700k
May 2026
Valuations
27
4 club changes
May 2026€700kFC Twente EnschedeValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €700k, FC Twente Enschede. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-10-05€50kKVC Westerlo
2015-01-11€200kKVC Westerlo
2016-02-07€200kKVC Westerlo
2016-07-15€200kKVC Westerlo
2017-02-02€225kNAC Breda
2017-06-21€400kNAC Breda
2018-01-17€600kNAC Breda
2018-06-12€500kNAC Breda
2018-10-04€700kNAC Breda
2018-12-28€750kNAC Breda
2019-06-12€650kNAC Breda
2020-04-08€525kNAC Breda
2020-06-29€900kNAC Breda
2020-10-21€900kLommel SK
2021-02-23€750kLommel SK
2021-10-13€500kLommel SK
2022-01-13€600kLommel SK
2022-06-08€600kSparta Rotterdam
2022-11-11€900kSparta Rotterdam
2023-03-17€2MSparta Rotterdam
2023-06-23€2.3MSparta Rotterdam
2023-12-15€2.3MSparta Rotterdam
2024-05-31€2.7MSparta Rotterdam
2024-12-17€2MSparta Rotterdam
2025-05-28€1.5MFC Twente Enschede
2025-12-02€1MFC Twente Enschede
2026-05-28€700kFC Twente Enschede

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.932

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 34% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 23% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Verschueren appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).