FairValue

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Valeriy

Luchkevych

RBUkraine · Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi

№ 248934Emerging €166k +0.41

Player dossierPremier Liha

ValeriyLuchkevych

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
30
Height
176 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Luchkevych at €250k. Model A, which never saw Luchkevych during training, estimates €166k: the market value is 51% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.51. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €643k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.41A €166k▼ −0.94B €643k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
13
Minutes
793
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
10/13
Min / app
61
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Luchkevych…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €250kModel A €166k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Valeriy Luchkevych's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 7th, Starts 38th, Minutes, last 365 days 12th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists7thMinutes38thStarts12thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

77% this player83% defender median38th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Sept 2014
Peak
€2.5M
Jun 2015
Model target
€250k
Jun 2026
Valuations
28
7 club changes
Jun 2026€250kEpicentr Kamyanets-PodilskyiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €250k, Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-09-22€200kDnipro Dnipropetrovsk (- 2020)
2014-12-25€800kDnipro Dnipropetrovsk (- 2020)
2015-06-07€2.5MDnipro Dnipropetrovsk (- 2020)
2015-12-18€2MDnipro Dnipropetrovsk (- 2020)
2016-07-21€1.8MDnipro Dnipropetrovsk (- 2020)
2016-09-30€1.2MDnipro Dnipropetrovsk (- 2020)
2017-01-03€1MDnipro Dnipropetrovsk (- 2020)
2017-06-06€1.2MStandard Liège
2018-01-09€1.2MStandard Liège
2018-06-03€1MStandard Liège
2018-09-11€800kStandard Liège
2018-12-27€700kStandard Liège
2019-06-20€700kFC Oleksandriya
2020-01-08€900kFC Oleksandriya
2020-04-08€725kFC Oleksandriya
2020-09-04€900kFC Oleksandriya
2021-01-14€900kFC Oleksandriya
2021-06-07€800kFC Oleksandriya
2021-12-20€700kSC Dnipro-1
2022-05-18€700kSC Dnipro-1
2022-12-06€500kSC Dnipro-1
2023-06-21€400kSC Dnipro-1
2023-12-11€600kKolos Kovalivka
2024-06-06€600kKolos Kovalivka
2024-12-17€400kKolos Kovalivka
2025-06-10€400kDynamo Kyiv
2025-10-21€300kWithout Club
2026-06-02€250kEpicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.409

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 17% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 7% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Luchkevych appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).