FairValue

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Takuma

Asano

RWJapan · RCD Mallorca

№ 245744Emerging €1.4M +0.06

Player dossierLaLiga

TakumaAsano

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
RCD Mallorca
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Japan
Age
31
Height
173 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Asano at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Asano during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 6% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.06. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.06A €1.4M▲ +0.29B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
46
Minutes
1,981
Goals
3
Assists
2
Started
24/46
Min / app
43
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Asano…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Takuma Asano's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 20th, Assists per 90 28th, Minutes, two years 44th, Starts 38th, Minutes, last 365 days 31st, European club minutes 28th20thGoals28thAssists44thMinutes38thStarts31stRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

1,981 this player2,242 attacker median44th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2013
Peak
€4M
Dec 2022
Model target
€1.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
29
6 club changes
Jun 2026€1.5MRCD MallorcaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.5M, RCD Mallorca. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-07-05€50kSanfrecce Hiroshima
2014-03-31€250kSanfrecce Hiroshima
2015-02-12€350kSanfrecce Hiroshima
2015-07-01€650kSanfrecce Hiroshima
2016-02-25€1.2MSanfrecce Hiroshima
2016-08-01€1.5MArsenal FC
2017-01-23€2MVfB Stuttgart
2017-06-27€2.5MVfB Stuttgart
2017-12-28€2.5MVfB Stuttgart
2018-06-05€2MVfB Stuttgart
2018-12-18€2MHannover 96
2019-06-05€1.5MHannover 96
2019-10-28€1.7MFK Partizan Belgrade
2020-04-08€1.4MFK Partizan Belgrade
2020-06-28€2.5MFK Partizan Belgrade
2020-12-22€2.5MFK Partizan Belgrade
2021-06-12€3MFK Partizan Belgrade
2021-12-22€2.5MVfL Bochum
2022-06-09€3MVfL Bochum
2022-11-09€3MVfL Bochum
2022-12-23€4MVfL Bochum
2023-06-22€4MVfL Bochum
2023-12-14€4MVfL Bochum
2024-05-29€4MVfL Bochum
2024-12-27€2.5MRCD Mallorca
2025-06-09€2.5MRCD Mallorca
2025-10-02€2MRCD Mallorca
2025-12-12€1.8MRCD Mallorca
2026-06-05€1.5MRCD Mallorca

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.055

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 20% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 37% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Asano appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).