Josh
Cullen
CMIreland · Burnley FC
Player dossierPremier League
JoshCullen
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Burnley FC
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- Ireland
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 175 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 3 Jun 2026
Premier LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Cullen at €4M. Model A, which never saw Cullen during training, estimates €3.9M: the market value is 2% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €624k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 18
- Minutes
- 1,520
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 18/18
- Min / app
- 84
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cullen…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player69% midfielder median99th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €250k
- Aug 2016
- Peak
- €13M
- Jun 2023
- Model target
- €4M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 23
- 5 club changes
Jun 2026: €4M, Burnley FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-08-01 | €250k | West Ham United |
| 2017-04-21 | €250k | Bradford City |
| 2017-06-28 | €500k | West Ham United |
| 2018-05-28 | €1M | West Ham United |
| 2019-06-13 | €1M | West Ham United |
| 2020-02-27 | €1.5M | Charlton Athletic |
| 2020-04-08 | €1.2M | Charlton Athletic |
| 2020-10-16 | €1.5M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2021-03-17 | €2.6M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2021-06-07 | €3M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2022-01-06 | €3.5M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2022-04-12 | €5M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2022-10-27 | €7M | Burnley FC |
| 2023-03-24 | €10M | Burnley FC |
| 2023-06-01 | €13M | Burnley FC |
| 2023-12-19 | €13M | Burnley FC |
| 2024-05-27 | €10M | Burnley FC |
| 2024-09-24 | €8M | Burnley FC |
| 2024-12-30 | €6.5M | Burnley FC |
| 2025-05-27 | €6.5M | Burnley FC |
| 2025-12-09 | €7M | Burnley FC |
| 2026-03-09 | €6M | Burnley FC |
| 2026-06-03 | €4M | Burnley FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.023
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 16% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 61% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Cullen appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- OrtegaGKNottingham Forest · Premier League€4M
- AreolaGKWest Ham United · Premier League€4M
- WilsonCFWest Ham United · Premier League€4M
- BarkleyCMAston Villa · Premier League€4M
- EndoDMLiverpool FC · midfielders€4M
- ThomassonCMRC Lens · midfielders€4M
- KarlströmDMUdinese Calcio · midfielders€4M
- KantéDMFenerbahce · midfielders€4M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).