FairValue

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Drey

Wright

RMEngland · Dundee FC

№ 238468Emerging €321k −1.45

Player dossierPremiership

DreyWright

RMRight MidfieldMidfield

Club
Dundee FC
League
Premiership
Nationality
England
Age
31
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
20 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Wright at €75k. Model A, which never saw Wright during training, estimates €321k: the market value is 77% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×4.28. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −1.45A €321k▼ −2.63B €1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
68
Minutes
5,769
Goals
3
Assists
2
Started
66/68
Min / app
85
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Wright…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €75k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €75kModel A €321k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Drey Wright's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 32nd, Assists per 90 20th, Minutes, two years 93rd, Starts 97th, Minutes, last 365 days 90th, European club minutes 30th32ndGoals20thAssists93rdMinutes97thStarts90thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

97% this player69% midfielder median97th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Aug 2013
Peak
€500k
Jun 2023
Model target
€75k
May 2026
Valuations
22
4 club changes
May 2026€75kDundee FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €75k, Dundee FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-08-12€50kColchester United
2015-02-27€50kColchester United
2016-05-30€75kColchester United
2016-08-05€75kColchester United
2018-08-08€200kSt. Johnstone FC
2019-01-03€350kSt. Johnstone FC
2019-08-20€350kSt. Johnstone FC
2020-02-05€350kSt. Johnstone FC
2020-04-08€300kSt. Johnstone FC
2020-07-21€300kHibernian FC
2021-01-18€400kHibernian FC
2021-06-28€350kHibernian FC
2021-12-31€300kHibernian FC
2022-06-27€300kHibernian FC
2022-12-13€450kSt. Johnstone FC
2023-06-26€500kSt. Johnstone FC
2023-12-05€400kSt. Johnstone FC
2024-05-30€300kSt. Johnstone FC
2024-12-03€300kSt. Johnstone FC
2025-06-17€200kSt. Johnstone FC
2025-12-10€150kDundee FC
2026-05-20€75kDundee FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−1.453

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premiership311 players · median €400k

Valued above 5% of the 311 Premiership players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€75kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 0% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€75kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Wright appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).