Ederson
GKBrazil · Fenerbahce
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierSüper Lig
Ederson
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Fenerbahce
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 188 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Süper LigReading the valuation
The market values Ederson at €10M. Model A, which never saw Ederson during training, estimates €3.2M: the market value is 210% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×3.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 73
- Minutes
- 6,553
- Started
- 73/73
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 11Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ederson…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
28% this player0% goalkeeper median92nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €300k
- Apr 2013
- Peak
- €70M
- Jun 2019
- Model target
- €10M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 34
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €10M, Fenerbahce. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2013-04-03 | €300k | Rio Ave FC |
| 2013-07-02 | €300k | Rio Ave FC |
| 2014-07-25 | €900k | Rio Ave FC |
| 2015-02-17 | €600k | Rio Ave FC |
| 2015-07-01 | €1.2M | SL Benfica |
| 2016-02-24 | €1.2M | SL Benfica |
| 2016-07-29 | €7M | SL Benfica |
| 2017-02-22 | €12M | SL Benfica |
| 2017-06-26 | €22M | SL Benfica |
| 2017-10-23 | €25M | Manchester City |
| 2018-01-02 | €35M | Manchester City |
| 2018-03-23 | €45M | Manchester City |
| 2018-05-28 | €50M | Manchester City |
| 2018-10-17 | €60M | Manchester City |
| 2018-12-19 | €60M | Manchester City |
| 2019-06-13 | €70M | Manchester City |
| 2019-12-10 | €70M | Manchester City |
| 2020-04-08 | €56M | Manchester City |
| 2020-10-13 | €56M | Manchester City |
| 2021-03-18 | €56M | Manchester City |
| 2021-06-08 | €50M | Manchester City |
| 2021-12-23 | €50M | Manchester City |
| 2022-06-15 | €45M | Manchester City |
| 2022-11-03 | €45M | Manchester City |
| 2023-06-20 | €40M | Manchester City |
| 2023-12-19 | €40M | Manchester City |
| 2024-05-27 | €35M | Manchester City |
| 2024-12-16 | €30M | Manchester City |
| 2025-03-18 | €25M | Manchester City |
| 2025-05-30 | €20M | Manchester City |
| 2025-10-01 | €18M | Fenerbahce |
| 2025-12-17 | €15M | Fenerbahce |
| 2026-03-05 | €13M | Fenerbahce |
| 2026-05-21 | €10M | Fenerbahce |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.131
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 91% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 88% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ederson appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ŠkriniarCBFenerbahce · Süper Lig€10M
- OnanaGKTrabzonspor · Süper Lig€10M
- TorreiraDMGalatasaray · Süper Lig€10M
- BoeyRBGalatasaray · Süper Lig€10M
- GregorioGKJuventus FC · goalkeepers€10M
- OkoyeGKUdinese Calcio · goalkeepers€10M
- PerriGKLeeds United · goalkeepers€10M
- ÖzerGKLOSC Lille · goalkeepers€10M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).