FairValue

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Igor

Obukhov

GKRussia · Fakel Voronezh

№ 235344Emerging €254k +0.32

Player dossierPremier Liga

IgorObukhov

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Fakel Voronezh
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
29
Height
193 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Obukhov at €350k. Model A, which never saw Obukhov during training, estimates €254k: the market value is 38% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.38. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €876k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.32A €254k▼ −0.92B €876k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
12
Minutes
1,080
Started
12/12
Min / app
90
Cards
0Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Obukhov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €350kModel A €254k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Igor Obukhov's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 20th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 6th, European club minutes 32nd20thMinutes62ndStarts6thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Aug 2012
Peak
€600k
Nov 2023
Model target
€350k
Dec 2025
Valuations
25
9 club changes
Dec 2025€350kFakel VoronezhValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €350k, Fakel Voronezh. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-08-19€25kZenit St. Petersburg II
2015-08-25€75kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2016-01-17€150kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2016-04-21€50kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2016-10-28€100kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2017-06-01€200kFC Tyumen
2017-12-06€300kFC Tyumen
2018-06-06€300kArsenal Tula
2018-10-15€350kFC Tyumen
2018-12-20€350kFC Tyumen
2019-06-14€300kFC Tyumen
2019-12-23€375kSKA Khabarovsk
2020-04-08€325kSKA Khabarovsk
2020-06-29€325kSKA Khabarovsk
2020-12-29€350kSKA Khabarovsk
2021-06-02€300kRotor Volgograd
2021-12-07€350kRotor Volgograd
2022-05-30€300kRotor Volgograd
2022-12-08€400kNeftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
2023-06-19€350kNeftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
2023-11-30€600kFC Khimki
2024-06-14€600kFC Khimki
2024-12-12€500kFC Khimki
2025-06-04€400kFC Khimki
2025-12-03€350kFakel Voronezh

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.320

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 8% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€350kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 20% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€350kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Obukhov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).