FairValue

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Luuk

Koopmans

GKNetherlands · Fortuna Sittard

№ 235108Emerging €263k −0.28

Player dossierEredivisie

LuukKoopmans

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Fortuna Sittard
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
32
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Koopmans at €200k. Model A, which never saw Koopmans during training, estimates €263k: the market value is 24% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.32. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €424k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.28A €263k▼ −0.75B €424k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
18
Minutes
1,620
Started
18/18
Min / app
90
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Koopmans…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €200kModel A €263k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Luuk Koopmans's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 32nd, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 35th, European club minutes 32nd32ndMinutes62ndStarts35thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Aug 2012
Peak
€600k
Dec 2019
Model target
€200k
May 2026
Valuations
32
4 club changes
May 2026€200kFortuna SittardValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €200k, Fortuna Sittard. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-08-02€50kFC Oss
2013-06-04€50kFC Oss
2014-02-10€50kFC Oss
2014-08-16€50kFC Oss
2015-02-21€100kFC Oss
2015-07-27€200kPSV Eindhoven
2016-02-05€200kPSV Eindhoven
2016-07-01€300kPSV Eindhoven
2017-01-18€200kPSV Eindhoven
2017-06-07€200kPSV Eindhoven
2018-01-17€200kPSV Eindhoven
2018-06-12€200kPSV Eindhoven
2019-01-21€300kMVV Maastricht
2019-03-23€350kMVV Maastricht
2019-06-27€350kMVV Maastricht
2019-12-18€600kADO Den Haag
2020-04-08€475kADO Den Haag
2020-10-14€475kADO Den Haag
2021-01-06€500kADO Den Haag
2021-03-09€400kADO Den Haag
2021-05-19€400kADO Den Haag
2021-10-12€350kADO Den Haag
2022-01-12€350kADO Den Haag
2022-06-23€350kADO Den Haag
2022-10-12€275kADO Den Haag
2023-07-04€225kFortuna Sittard
2023-12-15€200kFortuna Sittard
2024-05-31€225kFortuna Sittard
2024-12-17€200kFortuna Sittard
2025-05-28€200kFortuna Sittard
2025-12-02€150kFortuna Sittard
2026-05-28€200kFortuna Sittard

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.275

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 3% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 9% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Koopmans appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).