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Portrait of Antonio Sanabria

Antonio

Sanabria

CFParaguay · US Cremonese

№ 234523Emerging €2.1M −0.16

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

AntonioSanabria

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
US Cremonese
League
Serie A
Nationality
Paraguay
Age
30
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sanabria at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Sanabria during training, estimates €2.1M: the market value is 14% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.17. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.16A €2.1M▲ +0.49B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
52
Minutes
2,324
Goals
3
Assists
2
Started
27/52
Min / app
45
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sanabria…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.8MModel A €2.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Antonio Sanabria's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 17th, Assists per 90 23rd, Minutes, two years 52nd, Starts 38th, Minutes, last 365 days 35th, European club minutes 28th17thGoals23rdAssists52ndMinutes38thStarts35thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

2,324 this player2,242 attacker median52nd percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€600k
Oct 2013
Peak
€10M
Mar 2019
Model target
€1.8M
May 2026
Valuations
32
8 club changes
May 2026€1.8MUS CremoneseValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.8M, US Cremonese. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-10-08€600kFC Barcelona B
2014-02-10€4.5MUS Sassuolo
2014-07-01€4.5MAS Roma
2015-01-07€4MAS Roma
2015-07-01€3.5MAS Roma
2016-02-22€7.5MSporting Gijón
2016-07-15€7.5MReal Betis Balompié
2017-01-24€5MReal Betis Balompié
2017-06-05€5MReal Betis Balompié
2018-01-01€7.5MReal Betis Balompié
2018-05-30€7.5MReal Betis Balompié
2018-12-21€7MReal Betis Balompié
2019-03-01€10MGenoa CFC
2019-06-06€9MGenoa CFC
2019-12-12€8MGenoa CFC
2020-04-08€6.5MGenoa CFC
2020-08-25€6.5MGenoa CFC
2020-10-08€6.5MReal Betis Balompié
2021-01-05€6.5MReal Betis Balompié
2021-06-03€7.5MTorino FC
2021-12-28€7.5MTorino FC
2022-06-07€7.5MTorino FC
2022-11-11€7MTorino FC
2023-06-15€10MTorino FC
2023-12-20€9.5MTorino FC
2024-06-05€7MTorino FC
2024-12-18€6MTorino FC
2025-03-25€4MTorino FC
2025-06-17€2.8MTorino FC
2025-12-23€2.5MUS Cremonese
2026-03-24€2MUS Cremonese
2026-05-29€1.8MUS Cremonese

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.155

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 18% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 43% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sanabria appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).