FairValue

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Quini

RBSpain · Atromitos Athens

№ 223053Emerging €85k +0.56

Player dossierSuper League

Quini

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Atromitos Athens
League
Super League
Nationality
Spain
Age
36
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Quini at €150k. Model A, which never saw Quini during training, estimates €85k: the market value is 75% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.75. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €91k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.56A €85k▲ +0.49B €91k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
40
Minutes
3,308
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
36/40
Min / app
83
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Quini…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €150k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €150kModel A €85k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Quini's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 42nd, Minutes, two years 59th, Starts 69th, Minutes, last 365 days 32nd, European club minutes 30th18thGoals42ndAssists59thMinutes69thStarts32ndRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

90% this player83% defender median69th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Aug 2012
Peak
€1.2M
Feb 2016
Model target
€150k
Jun 2026
Valuations
32
4 club changes
Jun 2026€150kAtromitos AthensValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €150k, Atromitos Athens. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-08-19€300kReal Madrid Castilla
2013-01-22€300kReal Madrid Castilla
2013-05-09€200kReal Madrid Castilla
2013-10-08€100kReal Madrid Castilla
2014-02-06€300kReal Madrid Castilla
2014-07-20€800kRayo Vallecano
2015-01-23€1MRayo Vallecano
2015-07-01€1MRayo Vallecano
2016-02-22€1.2MRayo Vallecano
2016-07-15€1.2MRayo Vallecano
2017-01-24€1.2MRayo Vallecano
2017-06-29€1MRayo Vallecano
2018-01-01€600kGranada CF
2018-05-30€500kGranada CF
2019-02-19€500kGranada CF
2019-06-29€700kGranada CF
2019-12-20€700kGranada CF
2020-04-08€550kGranada CF
2020-10-08€400kGranada CF
2021-01-05€400kGranada CF
2021-06-10€400kGranada CF
2021-12-30€400kGranada CF
2022-06-03€400kGranada CF
2022-12-29€400kGranada CF
2023-06-14€400kGranada CF
2023-12-20€400kOlympiacos Piraeus
2024-05-30€350kOlympiacos Piraeus
2024-09-26€300kAtromitos Athens
2024-12-18€250kAtromitos Athens
2025-05-23€200kAtromitos Athens
2025-12-12€175kAtromitos Athens
2026-06-04€150kAtromitos Athens

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.562

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 6% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 3% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Quini appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).