Fredrik Oldrup
Jensen
DMNorway · NAC Breda
Player dossierEredivisie
Fredrik OldrupJensen
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- NAC Breda
- League
- Eredivisie
- Nationality
- Norway
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 186 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
EredivisieReading the valuation
The market values Jensen at €250k. Model A, which never saw Jensen during training, estimates €255k: the market value is 2% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €323k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 36
- Minutes
- 2,090
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 24/36
- Min / app
- 58
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Jensen…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
67% this player69% midfielder median45th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Apr 2012
- Peak
- €1M
- Dec 2014
- Model target
- €250k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 26
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €250k, NAC Breda. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-04-12 | €25k | Odd Grenland |
| 2012-07-01 | €100k | Odds BK |
| 2012-12-29 | €100k | Odds BK |
| 2013-07-22 | €300k | Odds BK |
| 2014-01-02 | €800k | Odds BK |
| 2014-12-07 | €1M | Odds BK |
| 2015-12-27 | €1M | Odds BK |
| 2016-12-18 | €900k | Odds BK |
| 2017-10-20 | €750k | Zulte Waregem |
| 2018-01-09 | €600k | Zulte Waregem |
| 2018-06-03 | €600k | Zulte Waregem |
| 2018-11-22 | €600k | IFK Göteborg |
| 2019-12-29 | €600k | Odds BK |
| 2020-04-08 | €475k | Vålerenga Fotball Elite |
| 2020-07-25 | €500k | Vålerenga Fotball Elite |
| 2020-12-31 | €400k | Vålerenga Fotball Elite |
| 2022-01-03 | €400k | Vålerenga Fotball Elite |
| 2022-12-09 | €350k | Vålerenga Fotball Elite |
| 2023-06-29 | €300k | Vålerenga Fotball Elite |
| 2023-12-15 | €275k | Vålerenga Fotball Elite |
| 2024-06-10 | €325k | NAC Breda |
| 2024-10-14 | €375k | NAC Breda |
| 2024-12-17 | €350k | NAC Breda |
| 2025-05-28 | €300k | NAC Breda |
| 2025-12-02 | €300k | NAC Breda |
| 2026-05-28 | €250k | NAC Breda |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.020
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Eredivisie425 players · median €1M
Valued above 5% of the 425 Eredivisie players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 5% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Jensen appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- AyewCFNAC Breda · Eredivisie€250k
- AanholtLBSparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie€250k
- ZoetGKAZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie€250k
- PintoRBFortuna Sittard · Eredivisie€250k
- FalkCMOdense Boldklub · midfielders€250k
- BabenkoCMPolissya Zhytomyr · midfielders€250k
- SydorchukDMKVC Westerlo · midfielders€250k
- StambouliDMFC Metz · midfielders€250k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).