FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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André

Rømer

DMDenmark · Randers FC

№ 218085Emerging €235k +0.06

Player dossierSuperliga

AndréRømer

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Randers FC
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
32
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Rømer at €250k. Model A, which never saw Rømer during training, estimates €235k: the market value is 7% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €503k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.06A €235k▼ −0.70B €503k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
45
Minutes
2,617
Goals
2
Assists
0
Started
27/45
Min / app
58
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rømer…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €250kModel A €235k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

André Rømer's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 43rd, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 50th, Starts 34th, Minutes, last 365 days 23rd, European club minutes 62nd43rdGoals8thAssists50thMinutes34thStarts23rdRecent62ndEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

3% this player0% midfielder median62nd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2012
Peak
€1.2M
Jun 2023
Model target
€250k
May 2026
Valuations
29
6 club changes
May 2026€250kRanders FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €250k, Randers FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-07-18€50kFC Midtjylland U19
2013-06-17€150kFC Midtjylland
2014-02-10€250kFC Midtjylland
2014-08-31€300kFC Midtjylland
2015-02-06€300kFC Midtjylland
2015-09-02€400kFC Midtjylland
2016-01-21€700kFC Midtjylland
2016-08-12€600kFC Midtjylland
2016-12-12€400kFC Midtjylland
2017-06-21€500kFC Midtjylland
2017-12-18€500kFC Midtjylland
2018-06-02€400kOdense Boldklub
2018-12-21€600kRanders FC
2019-06-08€600kRanders FC
2019-12-22€600kRanders FC
2020-04-08€475kRanders FC
2020-07-31€450kRanders FC
2020-12-23€450kRanders FC
2021-06-09€700kIF Elfsborg
2021-12-17€800kIF Elfsborg
2022-06-24€1MIF Elfsborg
2022-12-14€1MIF Elfsborg
2023-06-27€1.2MIF Elfsborg
2023-12-21€1MFC Midtjylland
2024-06-10€1MFC Midtjylland
2024-12-09€900kRanders FC
2025-06-16€600kRanders FC
2025-12-15€400kRanders FC
2026-05-25€250kRanders FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.063

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 11% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 5% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Rømer appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).