FairValue

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Ilya

Pomazun

GKRussia · Spartak Moscow

№ 217686Emerging €747k +0.29

Player dossierPremier Liga

IlyaPomazun

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Spartak Moscow
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
29
Height
195 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pomazun at €1M. Model A, which never saw Pomazun during training, estimates €747k: the market value is 34% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €516k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.29A €747k▲ +0.66B €516k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
12
Minutes
972
Started
11/12
Min / app
81
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pomazun…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €747k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Ilya Pomazun's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 16th, Starts 9th, Minutes, last 365 days 30th, European club minutes 32nd16thMinutes9thStarts30thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% goalkeeper median32nd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€175k
Aug 2015
Peak
€2.5M
Oct 2023
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
27
6 club changes
May 2026€1MSpartak MoscowValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, Spartak Moscow. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-08-25€175kCSKA Moscow II
2016-12-02€100kCSKA Moscow II
2017-06-01€100kCSKA Moscow II
2017-10-02€300kCSKA Moscow
2017-12-23€300kCSKA Moscow
2018-06-06€300kCSKA Moscow
2018-10-15€400kCSKA Moscow
2018-12-20€400kCSKA Moscow
2019-06-14€400kCSKA Moscow
2019-12-23€500kCSKA Moscow
2020-04-08€400kCSKA Moscow
2020-07-29€400kCSKA Moscow
2020-10-19€1.2MUral Yekaterinburg
2020-12-29€1.5MUral Yekaterinburg
2021-06-02€1.5MCSKA Moscow
2021-12-29€1.8MUral Yekaterinburg
2022-06-02€1.8MUral Yekaterinburg
2022-11-21€1.8MUral Yekaterinburg
2023-06-14€2MUral Yekaterinburg
2023-10-05€2.5MUral Yekaterinburg
2023-12-13€2.5MUral Yekaterinburg
2024-06-04€2MUral Yekaterinburg
2024-09-18€1.5MCSKA Moscow
2024-12-12€1.2MCSKA Moscow
2025-06-04€1.2MSpartak Moscow
2025-12-16€1MSpartak Moscow
2026-05-26€1MSpartak Moscow

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.291

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 44% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 48% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pomazun appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).