FairValue

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Aleix

Febas

CMSpain · Elche CF

№ 217144Established €2.9M +0.54

Player dossierLaLiga

AleixFebas

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Elche CF
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
30
Height
172 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Febas at €5M. Model A, which never saw Febas during training, estimates €2.9M: the market value is 71% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.71. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.54A €2.9M▲ +1.15B €1.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
37
Minutes
3,256
Goals
2
Assists
2
Started
37/37
Min / app
88
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Febas…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €5MModel A €2.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Aleix Febas's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 36th, Assists per 90 31st, Minutes, two years 61st, Starts 99th, Minutes, last 365 days 95th, European club minutes 30th36thGoals31stAssists61stMinutes99thStarts95thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player69% midfielder median99th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
Aug 2016
Peak
€5M
Mar 2026
Model target
€5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
27
5 club changes
Jun 2026€5MElche CFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €5M, Elche CF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-08-01€400kReal Madrid Castilla
2017-02-02€400kReal Madrid Castilla
2017-06-30€400kReal Madrid Castilla
2018-01-01€500kReal Zaragoza
2018-05-30€500kReal Zaragoza
2019-02-19€1MAlbacete Balompié
2019-06-29€4MAlbacete Balompié
2019-12-20€3.5MRCD Mallorca
2020-04-08€2.8MRCD Mallorca
2020-10-08€2.5MRCD Mallorca
2021-01-08€2MRCD Mallorca
2021-03-19€1.5MRCD Mallorca
2021-06-24€1MRCD Mallorca
2021-12-30€1MRCD Mallorca
2022-06-29€1MMálaga CF
2022-12-29€1MMálaga CF
2023-06-14€1.2MMálaga CF
2023-10-13€1.5MElche CF
2023-12-20€2MElche CF
2024-03-26€2.2MElche CF
2024-06-24€2.2MElche CF
2024-12-13€2.2MElche CF
2025-06-24€2.2MElche CF
2025-10-02€3MElche CF
2025-12-12€4MElche CF
2026-03-16€5MElche CF
2026-06-05€5MElche CF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.536

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 57% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 65% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Febas appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).